{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c21f0678-9d18-4d97-aeea-095628963466", "symbol": "1110", "name": "Southeast Cement Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 77.408, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 29.696, "architecture_energy": 42.001, "architecture_maturity": 9.145, "architecture_confidence": 44.604, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.71, "rotation_up": 56.76, "upward_expansion": 55.54, "deceleration": 27.08, "rotation_down": 21.1, "downward_expansion": 16.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.96, 15.777885, 15.405764, 15.3132 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.95, "trend_reference": 15.346677, "distance_from_trend": 0.039313, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.001468, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.113961, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.29587, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.006548, "excess_performance": -0.434824, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039313, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013402, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.113961, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122541, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.292959, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155557, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006548, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.219355, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1453168, "relative_activity": 1.178137, "balance": 4.219355, "dry_up": 1.095087, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053044, "annualized_volatility": 0.280883, "from_high_reference": -0.116535, "from_low_reference": 0.169479 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.346677, "fair_value_reference": 18.001468, "structural_low": 13.638557, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.032178, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.084845, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.002778, "worst_return": -0.043902, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.019035, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.03411, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.158839, "worst_return": -0.139859, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.063706, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.066527, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.093904, "worst_return": -0.177041, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"direction": 25.688219, "energy": 39.46375, "activity_lines": [ 15.68465, 15.444993, 15.135884, 15.188573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.15, "volume": 2027230, "typical_volume": 1222335.25, "trend": 15.356144, "fair_value": 18.041727, "relative_strength": -26.203788, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.869659, "energy": 48.782122, "activity_lines": [ 15.9, 15.619647, 15.243749, 15.239599 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.9, "volume": 1104274, "typical_volume": 1211443.5, "trend": 15.35303, "fair_value": 18.020977, "relative_strength": -28.106773, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.131767, "energy": 44.631631, "activity_lines": [ 15.93, 15.708535, 15.324957, 15.274686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 15.95, "volume": 1453168, "typical_volume": 1233446.15, "trend": 15.346677, "fair_value": 18.001468, "relative_strength": -29.29587, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.695602, "energy": 42.000616, "activity_lines": [ 15.96, 15.777885, 15.405764, 15.3132 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }