{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2296de8-7461-4728-ab85-e521ecedcecb", "symbol": "GDDY", "name": "Godaddy Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 76.066, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.125, "architecture_energy": 18.059, "architecture_maturity": 10.548, "architecture_confidence": 43.329, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.44, "rotation_up": 52.75, "upward_expansion": 45.05, "deceleration": 32.1, "rotation_down": 24.1, "downward_expansion": 14.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 89.560667, 88.060727, 86.832286, 86.703484 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 91.07, "trend_reference": 88.259333, "distance_from_trend": 0.031846, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 131.976795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.309954, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.052732, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.063259, "excess_performance": -0.188883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031846, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129901, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.309954, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005271, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.250527, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129885, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063259, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.962681, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12626776, "relative_activity": 1.109253, "balance": 0.962681, "dry_up": 0.912359, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121817, "annualized_volatility": 0.459854, "from_high_reference": -0.394763, "from_low_reference": 0.272105 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 88.259333, "fair_value_reference": 131.976795, "structural_low": 71.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.001891, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.01897, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.175721, "worst_return": -0.089661, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.004949, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.004578, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.404427, "worst_return": -0.195636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.016164, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.029407, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.693197, "worst_return": -0.305075, "sufficient": true }, 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"regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043498, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.05507, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02351, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.000681, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.041621, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-11", 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84.238762, 87.528989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 88.51, "volume": 8152027, "typical_volume": 12355732.75, "trend": 93.623, "fair_value": 131.446987, "relative_strength": -30.137213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.483409, "energy": 30.320204, "activity_lines": [ 83.248667, 84.066545, 84.558143, 87.113204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 88.92, "volume": 8363010, "typical_volume": 12335969.4, "trend": 92.427, "fair_value": 131.523526, "relative_strength": -29.529293, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.357245, "energy": 11.510122, "activity_lines": [ 85.507333, 84.743455, 84.919476, 86.809785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 94.35, "volume": 8250172, "typical_volume": 11555539.1, "trend": 91.331333, "fair_value": 131.643397, "relative_strength": -22.765464, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.319192, "energy": 14.891511, "activity_lines": [ 89.273333, 86.368364, 85.806143, 86.933849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 93.16, "volume": 6055563, "typical_volume": 11208446.15, "trend": 90.201, "fair_value": 131.762436, "relative_strength": -22.036982, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.279156, "energy": 24.864917, "activity_lines": [ 91.435333, 87.716364, 86.545238, 87.051828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 82.74, "volume": 14609506, "typical_volume": 11403124.1, "trend": 89.008333, "fair_value": 131.846154, "relative_strength": -30.317212, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.11371, "energy": 10.079286, "activity_lines": [ 89.049333, 87.061091, 86.295714, 86.570473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 91.07, "volume": 12626776, "typical_volume": 11383138.15, "trend": 88.259333, "fair_value": 131.976795, "relative_strength": -25.052732, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.124746, "energy": 18.058553, "activity_lines": [ 89.560667, 88.060727, 86.832286, 86.703484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }