{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c236a51e-a0e0-47e3-beea-7bf103ccfcc1",
    "symbol": "CBK",
    "name": "Commerzbank AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.954,
    "architecture_energy": 46.549,
    "architecture_maturity": 67.957,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.391,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.89,
        "rotation_up": 47.04,
        "upward_expansion": 75.94,
        "deceleration": 67.05,
        "rotation_down": 28.47,
        "downward_expansion": 11.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        35.790965
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 39.0,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.129509,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.479737,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.815665,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.391419,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.181712,
    "excess_performance": 0.117072,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129509,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044663,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.815665,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018517,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073914,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016816,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181712,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.117225,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17582050,
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      "balance": 3.117225,
      "dry_up": 1.118785,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041305,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.313885,
      "from_high_reference": -0.021821,
      "from_low_reference": 0.385385
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 21.479737,
      "structural_low": 28.451844,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 20.770145,
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        "energy": 78.016231,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.849998,
        "volume": 11690736,
        "typical_volume": 12987639.55,
        "trend": 34.211537,
        "fair_value": 20.940398,
        "relative_strength": 8.325031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.312307,
        "energy": 50.028391,
        "activity_lines": [
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          36.160178,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.779999,
        "volume": 12887216,
        "typical_volume": 12589543.6,
        "trend": 34.281802,
        "fair_value": 21.112242,
        "relative_strength": 6.573805,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.167736,
        "energy": 39.253232,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.365999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.67,
        "volume": 9698315,
        "typical_volume": 12237829.9,
        "trend": 34.360062,
        "fair_value": 21.290589,
        "relative_strength": 6.666874,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.953593,
        "energy": 37.257421,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.401333,
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          36.643966,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.0,
        "volume": 17582050,
        "typical_volume": 11588090.25,
        "trend": 34.528263,
        "fair_value": 21.479737,
        "relative_strength": 7.391419,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.953567,
        "energy": 46.548683,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}