{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c240aa3d-1d20-40ff-8f0a-707256b778e5", "symbol": "AMOT", "name": "Amot Investments Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.977, "architecture_energy": 67.658, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 29.96, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.87, "rotation_down": 56.15, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.576667, 18.665091, 538.245285, 937.371531 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.42, "trend_reference": 1440.327917, "distance_from_trend": -0.987211, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1851.917149, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.990054, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.136402, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.992329, "excess_performance": -1.021229, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.987211, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.365003, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.990054, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.096553, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.991364, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.708105, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.992329, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.288025, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7223351, "relative_activity": 1.441791, "balance": 0.288025, "dry_up": 0.772771, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 10.250705, "annualized_volatility": 6.36729, "from_high_reference": -0.993223, "from_low_reference": 0.018805 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1440.327917, "fair_value_reference": 1851.917149, "structural_low": 18.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.02517, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": 0.005093, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.180093, "worst_return": -0.991261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.031494, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.016489, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.153609, "worst_return": -0.99059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.014714, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.016916, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.2071, "worst_return": -0.146637, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -99.136402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.976536, "energy": 67.657508, "activity_lines": [ 18.576667, 18.665091, 538.245285, 937.371531 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }