{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c255f8db-add6-46fe-be19-cd0f7bc82cef", "symbol": "XD9U", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI USA UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.38, "architecture_energy": 60.786, "architecture_maturity": 58.341, "architecture_confidence": 73.849, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.7, "rotation_up": 53.55, "upward_expansion": 80.27, "deceleration": 67.47, "rotation_down": 27.35, "downward_expansion": 9.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 223.329333, 222.128092, 220.03862, 215.661377 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 229.419998, "trend_reference": 210.685667, "distance_from_trend": 0.088921, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 172.471507, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.330191, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.30815, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.131765, "excess_performance": 0.080529, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088921, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034666, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.330191, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007644, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033082, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020635, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131765, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.889652, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88330, "relative_activity": 1.076963, "balance": 1.889652, "dry_up": 1.119572, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019668, "annualized_volatility": 0.130675, "from_high_reference": -0.002955, "from_low_reference": 0.231851 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 210.685667, "fair_value_reference": 172.471507, "structural_low": 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 219.940002, "volume": 103056, "typical_volume": 83946.75, "trend": 209.263334, "fair_value": 171.237725, "relative_strength": 0.604161, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.746741, "energy": 53.288036, "activity_lines": [ 220.918669, 220.822274, 217.891239, 213.737076 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 219.529999, "volume": 81916, "typical_volume": 83582.0, "trend": 209.86, "fair_value": 171.81593, "relative_strength": -0.802706, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.187853, "energy": 43.823312, "activity_lines": [ 220.538335, 220.564183, 218.550906, 214.399442 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 229.419998, "volume": 88330, "typical_volume": 82017.7, "trend": 210.685667, "fair_value": 172.471507, "relative_strength": 3.30815, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.379973, "energy": 60.786027, "activity_lines": [ 223.329333, 222.128092, 220.03862, 215.661377 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }