{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c26e0b7b-dd11-48a0-bb85-bc6f345db3ae", "symbol": "002053", "name": "Yunnan Energy Investment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.735, "architecture_energy": 43.168, "architecture_maturity": 54.091, "architecture_confidence": 79.875, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.09, "rotation_up": 25.06, "upward_expansion": 10.95, "deceleration": 60.03, "rotation_down": 46.56, "downward_expansion": 72.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.481333, 9.506545, 10.157714, 10.594638 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.64, "trend_reference": 11.070631, "distance_from_trend": -0.129228, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.904792, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.115985, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.53123, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.170128, "excess_performance": -0.177527, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.129228, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060936, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.115985, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219938, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.195312, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03058, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.170128, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.524932, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35310710, "relative_activity": 0.618948, "balance": 0.524932, "dry_up": 0.879234, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097618, "annualized_volatility": 0.479878, "from_high_reference": -0.363927, "from_low_reference": 0.113164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.070631, "fair_value_reference": 10.904792, "structural_low": 8.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.020508, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.001117, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.145851, "worst_return": -0.073147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.022648, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.022559, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.185668, "worst_return": -0.113571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.01683, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.021496, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.35483, "worst_return": -0.093125, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"down", "direction": -69.951592, "energy": 82.970957, "activity_lines": [ 9.646, 10.35953, 10.945314, 11.186249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 9.39, "volume": 61584480, "typical_volume": 63126610.55, "trend": 11.335736, "fair_value": 10.939963, "relative_strength": -27.426447, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.005528, "energy": 82.408148, "activity_lines": [ 9.434667, 10.094427, 10.762433, 11.055972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.45, "volume": 54450506, "typical_volume": 64106073.2, "trend": 11.284948, "fair_value": 10.932325, "relative_strength": -19.239212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.714466, "energy": 77.987953, "activity_lines": [ 9.38, 9.877475, 10.592713, 10.934312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.11, "volume": 73379385, "typical_volume": 64376567.35, "trend": 11.201077, "fair_value": 10.921657, "relative_strength": -21.980604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.945322, "energy": 64.375491, "activity_lines": [ 9.29, 9.646359, 10.401774, 10.793993 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.6, "volume": 37499188, "typical_volume": 59214598.65, "trend": 11.128926, "fair_value": 10.912732, "relative_strength": -16.094574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.945781, "energy": 48.553313, "activity_lines": [ 9.409333, 9.557273, 10.270944, 10.690697 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.64, "volume": 35310710, "typical_volume": 57049579.15, "trend": 11.070631, "fair_value": 10.904792, "relative_strength": -19.53123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.734891, "energy": 43.168233, "activity_lines": [ 9.481333, 9.506545, 10.157714, 10.594638 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }