{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2731305-88ef-4203-88fe-2695d467535e", "symbol": "IVOO", "name": "VANGUARD ADMIRAL FDS INC S&P MIDCAP 400 INDEX FD ETF SHS", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 93.22, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.138, "architecture_energy": 49.844, "architecture_maturity": 56.34, "architecture_confidence": 64.296, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.24, "rotation_up": 49.93, "upward_expansion": 77.74, "deceleration": 66.44, "rotation_down": 26.0, "downward_expansion": 6.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 129.081333, 128.680164, 126.99937, 124.797446 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 131.68, "trend_reference": 122.326612, "distance_from_trend": 0.076462, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 103.705427, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.26975, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.24988, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.087015, "excess_performance": -0.03861, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076462, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047271, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.26975, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022143, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.002499, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004466, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087015, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.867205, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 386539, "relative_activity": 1.002113, "balance": 0.867205, "dry_up": 0.927522, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026339, "annualized_volatility": 0.137957, "from_high_reference": -0.001517, "from_low_reference": 0.264895 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 122.326612, "fair_value_reference": 103.705427, "structural_low": 110.66117, 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"close": 128.05, "volume": 393001, "typical_volume": 402834.55, "trend": 120.36459, "fair_value": 102.647425, "relative_strength": -0.051299, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.456944, "energy": 59.627771, "activity_lines": [ 128.443664, 127.392498, 124.70908, 122.816761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 127.85, "volume": 318599, "typical_volume": 400032.95, "trend": 120.863235, "fair_value": 102.903203, "relative_strength": 1.348863, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.03165, "energy": 49.354618, "activity_lines": [ 128.241678, 127.65854, 125.267283, 123.29969 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 128.21, "volume": 394163, "typical_volume": 394272.15, "trend": 121.346175, "fair_value": 103.15845, "relative_strength": 2.206571, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.551006, "energy": 45.37609, "activity_lines": [ 128.195333, 127.936655, 125.825679, 123.773675 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 127.36, "volume": 331768, "typical_volume": 386492.0, "trend": 121.825373, "fair_value": 103.416026, "relative_strength": 0.411775, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.338825, "energy": 35.441325, "activity_lines": [ 127.864, 127.945354, 126.241205, 124.161664 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 131.68, "volume": 386539, "typical_volume": 385723.9, "trend": 122.326612, "fair_value": 103.705427, "relative_strength": 0.24988, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.137758, "energy": 49.8444, "activity_lines": [ 129.081333, 128.680164, 126.99937, 124.797446 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }