{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c27727b3-b8fc-448a-8084-778a6abdb495", "symbol": "EQQQ", "name": "Invesco EQQQ NASDAQ-100 UCITS ETF", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.224, "architecture_energy": 30.702, "architecture_maturity": 68.96, "architecture_confidence": 90.675, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.08, "rotation_up": 31.41, "upward_expansion": 62.25, "deceleration": 85.5, "rotation_down": 30.93, "downward_expansion": 21.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 614.093331, 620.27781, 615.19297, 595.786229 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 628.5, "trend_reference": 571.620779, "distance_from_trend": 0.099505, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 465.797624, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.349298, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.01736, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.218874, "excess_performance": 0.154234, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099505, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059822, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.349298, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01726, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.060174, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108374, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.218874, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.579323, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48727, "relative_activity": 2.536992, "balance": 1.579323, "dry_up": 1.599372, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033995, "annualized_volatility": 0.188867, "from_high_reference": -0.029493, "from_low_reference": 0.309312 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 571.620779, "fair_value_reference": 465.797624, "structural_low": 491.670827, "invalidation": "A 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 608.799988, "volume": 17752, "typical_volume": 17158.35, "trend": 566.212095, "fair_value": 462.237317, "relative_strength": 8.265197, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.306151, "energy": 40.542796, "activity_lines": [ 619.22666, 625.314024, 610.683968, 589.969662 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 596.5, "volume": 32070, "typical_volume": 17708.6, "trend": 568.63112, "fair_value": 463.889386, "relative_strength": 3.640548, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.901689, "energy": 27.817822, "activity_lines": [ 610.266663, 619.638804, 611.592634, 591.92372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 628.5, "volume": 48727, "typical_volume": 19206.6, "trend": 571.620779, "fair_value": 465.797624, "relative_strength": 6.01736, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.224373, "energy": 30.702489, "activity_lines": [ 614.093331, 620.27781, 615.19297, 595.786229 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }