{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c2797e9c-021f-4ca6-8174-8d5377d2e05a",
    "symbol": "COI",
    "name": "Amova-StraitsTrading Asia ex Japan REIT Index ETF",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 69.606,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -16.028,
    "architecture_energy": 28.469,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.068,
    "architecture_confidence": 61.474,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.3,
        "rotation_up": 46.78,
        "upward_expansion": 27.76,
        "deceleration": 41.27,
        "rotation_down": 15.89,
        "downward_expansion": 48.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.619267,
        0.614061,
        0.614911,
        0.618241
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.616,
    "trend_reference": 0.624333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.013347,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.56589,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.088551,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -17.109798,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.038155,
    "excess_performance": -0.19299,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013347,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00818,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088551,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.043675,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171098,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109854,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038155,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.084299,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 267883,
      "relative_activity": 0.285306,
      "balance": 5.084299,
      "dry_up": 2.521948,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.012827,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11585,
      "from_high_reference": -0.243046,
      "from_low_reference": 0.028398
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.624333,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.56589,
      "structural_low": 0.59899,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.000644,
        "positive_rate": 0.481481,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.518519,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006558,
        "regime_survival": 0.814815,
        "best_return": 0.118928,
        "worst_return": -0.091001,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.038188,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03046,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.145126,
        "worst_return": -0.187174,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.031995,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025805,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.048892,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 0.17839,
        "worst_return": -0.089457,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 162680,
        "typical_volume": 538600.5,
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        "fair_value": 0.564545,
        "relative_strength": -15.637846,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.499813,
        "energy": 40.679129,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.608576,
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          0.613609,
          0.618996
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.622,
        "volume": 6169023,
        "typical_volume": 821495.75,
        "trend": 0.625267,
        "fair_value": 0.564908,
        "relative_strength": -15.513862,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.763198,
        "energy": 22.839912,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.613836,
          0.609865,
          0.614083,
          0.618774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.626,
        "volume": 2872168,
        "typical_volume": 957079.8,
        "trend": 0.624983,
        "fair_value": 0.565406,
        "relative_strength": -15.147775,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.636727,
        "energy": 23.312139,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.619,
          0.612872,
          0.614988,
          0.618821
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.616,
        "volume": 267883,
        "typical_volume": 938932.5,
        "trend": 0.624333,
        "fair_value": 0.56589,
        "relative_strength": -17.109798,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.027678,
        "energy": 28.469275,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.619267,
          0.614061,
          0.614911,
          0.618241
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}