{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c27b7cff-4087-43d6-b651-c86cb1e4bab3", "symbol": "AHCO", "name": "Adapthealth Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 95.741, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.923, "architecture_energy": 70.176, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.814, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.89, "rotation_up": 16.66, "upward_expansion": 19.11, "deceleration": 32.24, "rotation_down": 65.31, "downward_expansion": 83.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.071333, 9.678909, 10.234762, 10.446892 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 5.69, "trend_reference": 10.561167, "distance_from_trend": -0.461234, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.714776, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.414294, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -50.802432, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.465728, "excess_performance": -0.653181, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.461234, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003293, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.414294, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.559092, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.508024, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.463172, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.465728, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.346315, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47146252, "relative_activity": 5.45968, "balance": 0.346315, "dry_up": 1.802712, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222054, "annualized_volatility": 0.999372, "from_high_reference": -0.576322, "from_low_reference": 0.004413 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.561167, "fair_value_reference": 9.714776, "structural_low": 5.665, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.004531, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.042295, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.413112, "worst_return": -0.23964, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.036428, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.083861, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.328165, "worst_return": -0.311011, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.112884, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.107591, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.209302, "worst_return": -0.277984, "sufficient": true }, { 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.506775, "energy": 12.721481, "activity_lines": [ 10.298, 10.251091, 10.761976, 10.736871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.96, "volume": 4944693, "typical_volume": 7032158.7, "trend": 10.6665, "fair_value": 9.803173, "relative_strength": -2.556035, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.096058, "energy": 9.438964, "activity_lines": [ 10.546, 10.361818, 10.773952, 10.757935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.76, "volume": 5833905, "typical_volume": 6966813.2, "trend": 10.6835, "fair_value": 9.785032, "relative_strength": -2.666165, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.482958, "energy": 8.927364, "activity_lines": [ 10.674, 10.442364, 10.758262, 10.763968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.8, "volume": 4343343, "typical_volume": 6641634.05, "trend": 10.721167, "fair_value": 9.767276, "relative_strength": -2.819983, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 1.981969, "energy": 7.248236, "activity_lines": [ 10.741333, 10.528364, 10.740333, 10.771484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.69, "volume": 47146252, "typical_volume": 8635350.9, "trend": 10.561167, "fair_value": 9.714776, "relative_strength": -50.802432, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.923373, "energy": 70.175822, "activity_lines": [ 9.071333, 9.678909, 10.234762, 10.446892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }