{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c27d94f8-f24b-4712-97e1-70f776ce5600", "symbol": "300079", "name": "Sumavision Technologies Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.218, "architecture_energy": 47.82, "architecture_maturity": 76.806, "architecture_confidence": 69.151, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.81, "rotation_up": 26.41, "upward_expansion": 19.75, "deceleration": 66.98, "rotation_down": 48.09, "downward_expansion": 72.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.371333, 4.339609, 4.672711, 4.932861 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.51, "trend_reference": 5.273337, "distance_from_trend": -0.144754, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.316025, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.151622, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.463952, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.253311, "excess_performance": -0.260711, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.144754, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06328, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.151622, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204891, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.20464, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022557, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.253311, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.417597, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 153815822, "relative_activity": 1.246026, "balance": 0.417597, "dry_up": 1.221658, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077551, "annualized_volatility": 0.355819, "from_high_reference": -0.371866, "from_low_reference": 0.130326 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.273337, "fair_value_reference": 5.316025, "structural_low": 3.99, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.038678, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.018981, "regime_survival": 0.703704, "best_return": 0.236, "worst_return": -0.207024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.046709, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.003498, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.502577, "worst_return": -0.366841, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.095955, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.10187, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.414013, "worst_return": -0.253152, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 135227304.6, "trend": 5.36767, "fair_value": 5.343622, "relative_strength": -26.622133, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.141788, "energy": 89.814456, "activity_lines": [ 4.197276, 4.447496, 4.859189, 5.114689 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.13, "volume": 143301855, "typical_volume": 127447911.2, "trend": 5.328003, "fair_value": 5.332692, "relative_strength": -25.796799, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.405153, "energy": 73.930379, "activity_lines": [ 4.160686, 4.337242, 4.764569, 5.03484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.54, "volume": 168553865, "typical_volume": 125055949.5, "trend": 5.30267, "fair_value": 5.324072, "relative_strength": -16.483581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.450415, "energy": 60.431779, "activity_lines": [ 4.284667, 4.330492, 4.717093, 4.984001 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.51, "volume": 153815822, "typical_volume": 123445161.3, "trend": 5.273337, "fair_value": 5.316025, "relative_strength": -20.463952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.217565, "energy": 47.819792, "activity_lines": [ 4.371333, 4.339609, 4.672711, 4.932861 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }