{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c29fca80-1c53-41fc-8c6b-07c378842379", "symbol": "600327", "name": "Wuxi Commercial Mansion Grand Orient Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.738, "architecture_energy": 22.494, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.257, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.58, "rotation_up": 29.6, "upward_expansion": 19.77, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 23.31, "downward_expansion": 56.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.538, 3.465091, 3.545476, 3.67757 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.58, "trend_reference": 3.932333, "distance_from_trend": -0.089599, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.450207, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.195543, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.922144, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.228448, "excess_performance": -0.185244, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089599, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124852, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.195543, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073624, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179221, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05043, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.228448, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.695468, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42609372, "relative_activity": 0.877403, "balance": 0.695468, "dry_up": 1.294672, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067899, "annualized_volatility": 0.313671, "from_high_reference": -0.448382, "from_low_reference": 0.140127 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.932333, "fair_value_reference": 4.450207, "structural_low": 3.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.001042, "positive_rate": 0.464286, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003486, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.295238, "worst_return": -0.132653, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.000979, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.022106, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.428571, "worst_return": -0.150235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.00625, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.060935, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.547113, "worst_return": -0.182468, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"direction": -61.137802, "energy": 53.284566, "activity_lines": [ 3.408667, 3.436909, 3.593429, 3.777484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.4, "volume": 64630159, "typical_volume": 49288923.4, "trend": 4.033333, "fair_value": 4.462517, "relative_strength": -20.78871, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.115887, "energy": 40.504148, "activity_lines": [ 3.425333, 3.418364, 3.562476, 3.731849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.59, "volume": 55391397, "typical_volume": 49615384.95, "trend": 3.978, "fair_value": 4.456832, "relative_strength": -16.084649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.106628, "energy": 27.506998, "activity_lines": [ 3.498, 3.441455, 3.55319, 3.703247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.58, "volume": 42609372, "typical_volume": 48563046.1, "trend": 3.932333, "fair_value": 4.450207, "relative_strength": -17.922144, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.737718, "energy": 22.493634, "activity_lines": [ 3.538, 3.465091, 3.545476, 3.67757 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }