{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2aae215-b204-46c9-987b-00fe096b6ebb", "symbol": "S1NP34", "name": "Synopsys, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.149, "architecture_energy": 78.904, "architecture_maturity": 12.914, "architecture_confidence": 78.624, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.44, "rotation_up": 8.21, "upward_expansion": 17.91, "deceleration": 37.03, "rotation_down": 79.09, "downward_expansion": 93.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.204533, 52.661218, 55.709696, 56.115187 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 52.25, "trend_reference": 57.1926, "distance_from_trend": -0.08642, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 66.961878, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.219705, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.843839, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.070996, "excess_performance": -0.013947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.08642, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.219705, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170034, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.178438, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008367, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.070996, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.064411, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 330943, "relative_activity": 5.04344, "balance": 1.064411, "dry_up": 1.959623, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077031, "annualized_volatility": 0.455856, "from_high_reference": -0.382913, "from_low_reference": 0.114072 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 57.1926, "fair_value_reference": 66.961878, "structural_low": 46.900002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.030759, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.040424, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.196388, "worst_return": -0.200867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.097787, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.064706, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.148529, "worst_return": -0.012451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.059798, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006192, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.232736, "worst_return": -0.185225, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.584609, "energy": 84.238059, "activity_lines": [ 51.591467, 54.677691, 56.851605, 57.065637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.16, "volume": 59077, "typical_volume": 50523.85, "trend": 57.796934, "fair_value": 66.962404, "relative_strength": -26.310533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.883252, "energy": 82.222276, "activity_lines": [ 50.061533, 53.239546, 56.120124, 56.473054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 52.25, "volume": 330943, "typical_volume": 65618.5, "trend": 57.1926, "fair_value": 66.961878, "relative_strength": -17.843839, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.149263, "energy": 78.903951, "activity_lines": [ 50.204533, 52.661218, 55.709696, 56.115187 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }