{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2abea21-cbcf-45b4-b3bc-a776fc2f982b", "symbol": "LOVABLE", "name": "Lovable Lingerie Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 66.121, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.112, "architecture_energy": 17.476, "architecture_maturity": 17.816, "architecture_confidence": 74.321, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.51, "rotation_up": 24.08, "upward_expansion": 50.6, "deceleration": 86.02, "rotation_down": 40.48, "downward_expansion": 27.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.822001, 74.143091, 73.785572, 72.914731 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 72.550003, "trend_reference": 72.443667, "distance_from_trend": 0.001468, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 110.076282, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.340912, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.07515, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.029042, "excess_performance": 0.014667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001468, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040828, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.340912, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003623, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.080752, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016231, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.029042, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.799676, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59596, "relative_activity": 0.52346, "balance": 0.799676, "dry_up": 0.414929, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069183, "annualized_volatility": 0.416814, "from_high_reference": -0.307068, "from_low_reference": 0.319091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.443667, "fair_value_reference": 110.076282, "structural_low": 55.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.009868, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009481, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.189534, "worst_return": -0.152267, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.050546, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.052162, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.288167, "worst_return": -0.179534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.075649, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.083316, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.465893, "worst_return": -0.154497, "sufficient": 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"regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.031721, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.153681, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.173526, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.086943, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.256956, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.153681, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.117718, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.110679, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.072441, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.015538, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 135.25, "volume": 160907, "typical_volume": 390723.25, "trend": 113.445, "fair_value": 119.689872, "relative_strength": -0.764324, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": 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"activity_lines": [ 76.99, 75.376727, 73.773286, 73.098731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 71.959999, "volume": 45995, "typical_volume": 117099.95, "trend": 72.942, "fair_value": 110.936923, "relative_strength": -6.6175, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.177853, "energy": 42.624286, "activity_lines": [ 75.458666, 74.958545, 73.785524, 73.016301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 71.440002, "volume": 37328, "typical_volume": 115362.1, "trend": 72.622333, "fair_value": 110.5125, "relative_strength": -9.170934, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.235917, "energy": 12.886251, "activity_lines": [ 73.908667, 74.452182, 73.744714, 72.919398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 72.550003, "volume": 59596, "typical_volume": 113850.1, "trend": 72.443667, "fair_value": 110.076282, "relative_strength": -8.07515, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.112031, "energy": 17.47564, "activity_lines": [ 72.822001, 74.143091, 73.785572, 72.914731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }