{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2b59f74-5646-4d6c-b4ff-c68436f813de", "symbol": "2486", "name": "I-Chiun Precision Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.212, "architecture_energy": 11.674, "architecture_maturity": 45.813, "architecture_confidence": 75.247, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.78, "rotation_up": 24.09, "upward_expansion": 42.51, "deceleration": 79.77, "rotation_down": 30.44, "downward_expansion": 31.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 227.166667, 229.627273, 239.956791, 229.055939 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 243.5, "trend_reference": 207.011866, "distance_from_trend": 0.176261, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 106.070052, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.295653, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 25.10122, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.604926, "excess_performance": 0.259194, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.176261, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.296272, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.295653, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.73206, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.251012, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.431546, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.604926, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.817998, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61900247, "relative_activity": 1.564916, "balance": 0.817998, "dry_up": 1.068168, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.170589, "annualized_volatility": 0.803568, "from_high_reference": -0.232866, "from_low_reference": 2.550927 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 207.011866, "fair_value_reference": 106.070052, "structural_low": 121.775604, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.009019, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.029196, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.657579, "worst_return": -0.108108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.30817, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.211058, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.442748, "worst_return": -0.039326, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.332621, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.26971, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.392623, "worst_return": -0.207865, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"direction": 29.317672, "energy": 16.011241, "activity_lines": [ 235.8, 245.472755, 243.220937, 222.224164 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 188.0, "volume": 42492641, "typical_volume": 39327477.05, "trend": 192.958099, "fair_value": 102.421858, "relative_strength": 4.094771, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.421772, "energy": 12.806682, "activity_lines": [ 219.3, 233.654545, 239.569404, 222.111746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 231.0, "volume": 35486443, "typical_volume": 35695022.45, "trend": 197.460658, "fair_value": 103.619071, "relative_strength": 23.484405, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.658127, "energy": 16.222818, "activity_lines": [ 219.6, 231.154545, 239.840349, 224.566062 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 225.5, "volume": 29126172, "typical_volume": 36723153.25, "trend": 201.946243, "fair_value": 104.789237, "relative_strength": 15.507908, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.75153, "energy": 15.793222, "activity_lines": [ 219.266667, 228.263636, 239.224222, 226.375052 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 243.5, "volume": 61900247, "typical_volume": 39554996.05, "trend": 207.011866, "fair_value": 106.070052, "relative_strength": 25.10122, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.212379, "energy": 11.67434, "activity_lines": [ 227.166667, 229.627273, 239.956791, 229.055939 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }