{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2c2aac9-3a55-435e-921b-706c1ee7405e", "symbol": "CAHCHA", "name": "UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF hCHF acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.221, "architecture_energy": 75.523, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 71.496, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.15, "rotation_up": 78.36, "upward_expansion": 90.28, "deceleration": 50.56, "rotation_down": 17.96, "downward_expansion": 12.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.546334, 43.206182, 42.567119, 41.939946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 44.23, "trend_reference": 41.186834, "distance_from_trend": 0.073887, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.230198, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.372316, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.296529, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.129613, "excess_performance": 0.04673, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073887, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040146, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.372316, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030649, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012965, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063736, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.129613, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.406549, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24324, "relative_activity": 2.68772, "balance": 9.406549, "dry_up": 1.056624, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0134, "annualized_volatility": 0.119249, "from_high_reference": -0.005621, "from_low_reference": 0.292141 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.186834, "fair_value_reference": 32.230198, "structural_low": 37.610001, "invalidation": "A 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81.493773, "energy": 90.867485, "activity_lines": [ 42.751666, 42.461182, 41.760262, 41.257613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 43.185001, "volume": 6653, "typical_volume": 8979.15, "trend": 40.759167, "fair_value": 31.877633, "relative_strength": 0.62351, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.098803, "energy": 90.143561, "activity_lines": [ 42.930667, 42.650091, 41.952952, 41.423591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.275002, "volume": 337, "typical_volume": 8478.7, "trend": 40.897834, "fair_value": 31.991255, "relative_strength": 0.817531, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.332653, "energy": 88.861537, "activity_lines": [ 43.092334, 42.820273, 42.145714, 41.585903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.189999, "volume": 6936, "typical_volume": 8542.2, "trend": 41.0345, "fair_value": 32.108274, "relative_strength": 0.384967, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.345412, "energy": 82.553594, "activity_lines": [ 43.173334, 42.930546, 42.31519, 41.733785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.23, "volume": 24324, "typical_volume": 9050.05, "trend": 41.186834, "fair_value": 32.230198, "relative_strength": 1.296529, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.221431, "energy": 75.523187, "activity_lines": [ 43.546334, 43.206182, 42.567119, 41.939946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }