{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2c69818-6249-4d07-8f3e-ef3d92f12dd0", "symbol": "ATM", "name": "Andrada Mining Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.036, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 14.541, "architecture_energy": 18.721, "architecture_maturity": 17.394, "architecture_confidence": 84.048, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.44, "rotation_up": 45.2, "upward_expansion": 43.09, "deceleration": 39.72, "rotation_down": 29.01, "downward_expansion": 15.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.039833, 0.039209, 0.039163, 0.038782 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.0395, "trend_reference": 0.038823, "distance_from_trend": 0.017429, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.038565, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.024235, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.526938, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.025974, "excess_performance": -0.025261, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.017429, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037317, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.024235, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01532, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.005269, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1575, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.025974, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.734163, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18120780, "relative_activity": 0.93669, "balance": 0.734163, "dry_up": 0.97308, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105161, "annualized_volatility": 0.495625, "from_high_reference": -0.193878, "from_low_reference": 0.519231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.038823, "fair_value_reference": 0.038565, "structural_low": 0.029, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.021887, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.002709, "regime_survival": 0.5625, "best_return": 0.225, "worst_return": -0.184783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.04386, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015231, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.517857, "worst_return": -0.338235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.054545, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.11924, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.464286, "worst_return": -0.384191, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.055004, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.063856, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.438596, "worst_return": -0.522059, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.292279, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-09-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.04, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-20", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.014286, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.207143, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.35, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.192982, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.157143, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.357143, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202899, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.175, "active": 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0.039967, 0.039118, 0.039002, 0.038742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0385, "volume": 6355785, "typical_volume": 19434883.25, "trend": 0.03875, "fair_value": 0.038751, "relative_strength": -1.520776, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.682212, "energy": 16.477255, "activity_lines": [ 0.039767, 0.039045, 0.039037, 0.038734 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0395, "volume": 18120780, "typical_volume": 19345554.45, "trend": 0.038823, "fair_value": 0.038565, "relative_strength": 0.526938, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.541063, "energy": 18.720559, "activity_lines": [ 0.039833, 0.039209, 0.039163, 0.038782 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }