{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c2d429fc-a2ee-47d4-8cc7-8792e23d0792",
    "symbol": "BATRK",
    "name": "Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. Series C Common Stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.381,
    "architecture_energy": 24.051,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.513,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.917,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.37,
        "rotation_up": 27.45,
        "upward_expansion": 55.82,
        "deceleration": 90.85,
        "rotation_down": 26.98,
        "downward_expansion": 19.49
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.597333,
        50.961273,
        50.466429,
        49.016968
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 50.06,
    "trend_reference": 46.789,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06991,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.139295,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.216841,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.544388,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.279325,
    "excess_performance": 0.091872,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06991,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089814,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216841,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045573,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005444,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006664,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279325,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.913948,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3835206,
      "relative_activity": 1.718636,
      "balance": 0.913948,
      "dry_up": 1.110389,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.047197,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.22009,
      "from_high_reference": -0.059906,
      "from_low_reference": 0.325742
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.789,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.139295,
      "structural_low": 38.84,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.021777,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.272727,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0212,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.128525,
        "worst_return": -0.044233,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.012911,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069367,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.067073,
        "worst_return": -0.119508,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.017073,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045007,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.062427,
        "worst_return": -0.124093,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.12921,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.088359,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.169811,
        "worst_return": 0.038482,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.0352,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044364,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015492,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.046668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.049563,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.000248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.057004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.035936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.089417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.051018,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.223935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 2107645.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 51.66,
        "volume": 2058336,
        "typical_volume": 2090158.75,
        "trend": 45.733333,
        "fair_value": 40.920641,
        "relative_strength": 6.100032,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 53.001843,
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          51.708667,
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          49.936429,
          48.185419
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.28,
        "volume": 1964405,
        "typical_volume": 2096009.3,
        "trend": 46.091,
        "fair_value": 40.989423,
        "relative_strength": 5.149477,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.159829,
        "energy": 43.574814,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.272,
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          48.478753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 50.83,
        "volume": 2053566,
        "typical_volume": 2119817.55,
        "trend": 46.456667,
        "fair_value": 41.063269,
        "relative_strength": 5.91777,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.943461,
        "energy": 31.463726,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.025333,
          51.113455,
          50.356143,
          48.784495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 50.06,
        "volume": 3835206,
        "typical_volume": 2231541.2,
        "trend": 46.789,
        "fair_value": 41.139295,
        "relative_strength": -0.544388,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.380586,
        "energy": 24.050992,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.597333,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}