{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c2d484ee-5206-49ee-9569-d8d2267c97d0",
    "symbol": "605086",
    "name": "Longyan Kaolin Clay Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.6,
    "architecture_energy": 75.415,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.715,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 16.84,
        "upward_expansion": 17.14,
        "deceleration": 41.52,
        "rotation_down": 67.31,
        "downward_expansion": 90.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.682,
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        26.868986,
        29.235258
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 23.870001,
    "trend_reference": 32.876025,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.273939,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 24.498358,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.025649,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -23.873562,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.457993,
    "excess_performance": -0.414789,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.273939,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086236,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025649,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.544579,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.238736,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.277028,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.457993,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.250038,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6971600,
      "relative_activity": 0.72631,
      "balance": 0.250038,
      "dry_up": 0.813474,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.124026,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.476204,
      "from_high_reference": -0.517778,
      "from_low_reference": 0.1935
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.876025,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.498358,
      "structural_low": 20.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.005315,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012417,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.187618,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.069643,
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        "worst_return": 0.034151,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.479721,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.365549,
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        "worst_return": -0.065939,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.183277,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.073755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 9609362.15,
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        "fair_value": 24.386131,
        "relative_strength": -30.855039,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.604765,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.459999,
        "volume": 7583980,
        "typical_volume": 9573353.45,
        "trend": 33.602359,
        "fair_value": 24.438948,
        "relative_strength": -26.679532,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.484819,
        "energy": 83.808579,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.421904,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.870001,
        "volume": 6971600,
        "typical_volume": 9598661.5,
        "trend": 32.876025,
        "fair_value": 24.498358,
        "relative_strength": -23.873562,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.599914,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}