{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2f673bc-05c1-4a68-aca1-3796626d993c", "symbol": "SUPX", "name": "SuperX AI Technology Limited", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.596, "architecture_energy": 51.367, "architecture_maturity": 78.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.684, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.34, "rotation_up": 14.92, "upward_expansion": 8.85, "deceleration": 42.7, "rotation_down": 66.74, "downward_expansion": 86.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.886667, 7.311091, 7.999333, 8.560581 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 6.65, "trend_reference": 9.745333, "distance_from_trend": -0.317622, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.620809, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.511776, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -75.588641, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.528703, "excess_performance": -0.716157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.317622, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.374317, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.511776, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0275, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.755886, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012504, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.528703, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.46243, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 929668, "relative_activity": 0.681831, "balance": 0.46243, "dry_up": 0.617062, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.298499, "annualized_volatility": 0.915799, "from_high_reference": -0.913072, "from_low_reference": 0.185383 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.745333, "fair_value_reference": 13.620809, "structural_low": 5.61, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.044957, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.104414, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.221321, "worst_return": -0.375092, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.265522, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.314542, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.211409, "worst_return": -0.319635, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.46347, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.563616, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.46347, "worst_return": -0.46347, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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7.940667, 8.487091, 8.643286, 9.451032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.54, "volume": 464573, "typical_volume": 1490157.65, "trend": 10.535, "fair_value": 13.795999, "relative_strength": -72.180554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.937625, "energy": 44.347967, "activity_lines": [ 7.786667, 8.248182, 8.506714, 9.244129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.05, "volume": 864868, "typical_volume": 1429403.75, "trend": 10.273333, "fair_value": 13.73931, "relative_strength": -73.446778, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.825588, "energy": 43.57645, "activity_lines": [ 7.515333, 7.916727, 8.351714, 9.01929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.49, "volume": 1106317, "typical_volume": 1428145.1, "trend": 9.976667, "fair_value": 13.678899, "relative_strength": -75.355825, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.260189, "energy": 51.706937, "activity_lines": [ 7.133333, 7.546909, 8.160714, 8.775204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.65, "volume": 929668, "typical_volume": 1363488.2, "trend": 9.745333, "fair_value": 13.620809, "relative_strength": -75.588641, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.596369, "energy": 51.366705, "activity_lines": [ 6.886667, 7.311091, 7.999333, 8.560581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }