{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c2f758e3-e5b8-402b-9a5e-118e7e0bdb5d", "symbol": "UONEK", "name": "Urban One Inc Class D", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.323, "architecture_energy": 16.045, "architecture_maturity": 79.439, "architecture_confidence": 77.114, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.88, "rotation_up": 25.98, "upward_expansion": 17.56, "deceleration": 46.11, "rotation_down": 27.45, "downward_expansion": 56.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.908, 4.76, 4.839937, 5.188088 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.15, "trend_reference": 5.891747, "distance_from_trend": -0.125896, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.563894, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.669106, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.062966, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.421348, "excess_performance": -0.608802, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.125896, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164731, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.669106, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045377, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.33063, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005142, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.421348, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.110273, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44035, "relative_activity": 0.267565, "balance": 0.110273, "dry_up": 3.988658, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.177096, "annualized_volatility": 0.708827, "from_high_reference": -0.527523, "from_low_reference": 0.438507 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.891747, "fair_value_reference": 15.563894, "structural_low": 3.5801, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.026485, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.050249, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.367005, "worst_return": -0.328947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.23796, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.238717, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.353293, "worst_return": -0.466307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.11064, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.260786, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.598802, "worst_return": -0.616279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"down", "direction": -58.247266, "energy": 44.135749, "activity_lines": [ 4.668667, 4.791027, 5.080756, 5.703793 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.25, "volume": 16607, "typical_volume": 37013.9, "trend": 6.503913, "fair_value": 16.889983, "relative_strength": -46.692264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.479045, "energy": 43.857313, "activity_lines": [ 4.54, 4.664909, 4.956316, 5.548162 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.11, "volume": 2383219, "typical_volume": 155937.2, "trend": 6.27758, "fair_value": 16.548701, "relative_strength": -45.712162, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.231111, "energy": 43.924081, "activity_lines": [ 4.395333, 4.534182, 4.837186, 5.393716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.08, "volume": 167430, "typical_volume": 163156.9, "trend": 6.150247, "fair_value": 16.215881, "relative_strength": -31.325265, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.376096, "energy": 32.109081, "activity_lines": [ 4.590667, 4.608727, 4.827865, 5.316453 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.04, "volume": 31077, "typical_volume": 163600.3, "trend": 6.029413, "fair_value": 15.88024, "relative_strength": -31.689582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.766829, "energy": 25.249749, "activity_lines": [ 4.746, 4.676545, 4.82721, 5.244824 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.15, "volume": 44035, "typical_volume": 164576.7, "trend": 5.891747, "fair_value": 15.563894, "relative_strength": -33.062966, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.323128, "energy": 16.044563, "activity_lines": [ 4.908, 4.76, 4.839937, 5.188088 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }