{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c2fa6785-7603-4a32-ba04-a2578a0f1c32",
    "symbol": "CHE-UN",
    "name": "Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 63.028,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.142,
    "architecture_energy": 21.088,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.676,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.049,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.11,
        "rotation_up": 44.53,
        "upward_expansion": 67.4,
        "deceleration": 51.53,
        "rotation_down": 18.14,
        "downward_expansion": 10.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.394679,
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        16.353719,
        16.219228
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 16.33,
    "trend_reference": 15.994888,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.020951,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.763598,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.517151,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.945921,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.040989,
    "excess_performance": -0.079432,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020951,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046187,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.517151,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.240541,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019459,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.189724,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040989,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.254786,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 655880,
      "relative_activity": 0.442156,
      "balance": 0.254786,
      "dry_up": 0.820572,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052417,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.356135,
      "from_high_reference": -0.107418,
      "from_low_reference": 0.541659
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.994888,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.763598,
      "structural_low": 13.414092,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.054476,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040123,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.117644,
        "worst_return": 0.024888,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008736,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.085495,
        "worst_return": 0.005595,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.155098,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.090282,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.06859,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.157145,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2018864,
        "typical_volume": 1604986.95,
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        "fair_value": 10.591313,
        "relative_strength": 2.845758,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.189382,
        "energy": 9.840996,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.237871,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.420218,
        "volume": 1130552,
        "typical_volume": 1596169.2,
        "trend": 15.887826,
        "fair_value": 10.649242,
        "relative_strength": 1.965827,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.546199,
        "energy": 16.839235,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.361019,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.36,
        "volume": 1063548,
        "typical_volume": 1525825.7,
        "trend": 15.947256,
        "fair_value": 10.706838,
        "relative_strength": 1.71918,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.047617,
        "energy": 20.901873,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.395495,
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          16.194534
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.33,
        "volume": 655880,
        "typical_volume": 1483368.65,
        "trend": 15.994888,
        "fair_value": 10.763598,
        "relative_strength": -1.945921,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.141857,
        "energy": 21.087905,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.394679,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}