{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c301a8e7-01a1-450e-bad6-c65463bce353", "symbol": "TMFG", "name": "MOTLEY FOOL GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 50.955, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.974, "architecture_energy": 42.987, "architecture_maturity": 26.199, "architecture_confidence": 77.538, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.96, "rotation_up": 54.66, "upward_expansion": 78.76, "deceleration": 55.0, "rotation_down": 22.75, "downward_expansion": 7.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.313767, 31.12664, 30.916291, 30.554796 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 32.07, "trend_reference": 30.230863, "distance_from_trend": 0.060836, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.81402, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.153016, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.427781, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.078708, "excess_performance": -0.046917, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060836, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010705, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.153016, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013602, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054278, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031495, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.078708, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.097085, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53933, "relative_activity": 0.83189, "balance": 1.097085, "dry_up": 0.795535, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029768, "annualized_volatility": 0.143021, "from_high_reference": -0.00826, "from_low_reference": 0.170438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.230863, "fair_value_reference": 27.81402, "structural_low": 27.4, "invalidation": "A 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30.347242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.3334, "volume": 47635, "typical_volume": 64284.65, "trend": 30.153863, "fair_value": 27.695953, "relative_strength": -6.920986, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.776208, "energy": 23.78086, "activity_lines": [ 30.783727, 30.82404, 30.643871, 30.35852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.32, "volume": 37812, "typical_volume": 64283.75, "trend": 30.193863, "fair_value": 27.753109, "relative_strength": -4.684314, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.599564, "energy": 32.263766, "activity_lines": [ 30.952413, 30.911431, 30.7507, 30.433755 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.07, "volume": 53933, "typical_volume": 64831.85, "trend": 30.230863, "fair_value": 27.81402, "relative_strength": -5.427781, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.973721, "energy": 42.987223, "activity_lines": [ 31.313767, 31.12664, 30.916291, 30.554796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }