{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c320d1ef-a7c8-4845-b1e2-f454acafe0dd", "symbol": "TBBK", "name": "The Bancorp Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 62.743, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.945, "architecture_energy": 78.491, "architecture_maturity": 15.628, "architecture_confidence": 67.364, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.41, "rotation_up": 80.28, "upward_expansion": 95.47, "deceleration": 39.83, "rotation_down": 9.93, "downward_expansion": 17.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.048, 65.813455, 62.175762, 60.458172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 69.64, "trend_reference": 59.503333, "distance_from_trend": 0.170355, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 51.988654, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.339523, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.446571, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.122864, "excess_performance": -0.06459, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.170355, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015633, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.339523, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19494, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.054466, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.194452, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.122864, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.721994, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2305213, "relative_activity": 1.074627, "balance": 1.721994, "dry_up": 1.049928, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06706, "annualized_volatility": 0.331404, "from_high_reference": -0.147118, "from_low_reference": 0.387251 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.503333, "fair_value_reference": 51.988654, "structural_low": 50.2, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.019392, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.025573, "regime_survival": 0.653846, "best_return": 0.176838, "worst_return": -0.219977, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.036442, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.009627, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.236786, "worst_return": -0.251026, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.092908, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.017325, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.314152, "worst_return": -0.191311, "sufficient": true 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"relative_strength": -4.426367, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.353644, "energy": 70.935926, "activity_lines": [ 66.536667, 63.216545, 60.345095, 59.318022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 67.07, "volume": 2773054, "typical_volume": 2186188.0, "trend": 59.509, "fair_value": 51.786538, "relative_strength": -4.538662, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.191929, "energy": 78.46546, "activity_lines": [ 67.024, 64.388182, 61.170238, 59.804559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.64, "volume": 2305213, "typical_volume": 2145128.85, "trend": 59.503333, "fair_value": 51.988654, "relative_strength": -5.446571, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.944643, "energy": 78.491299, "activity_lines": [ 68.048, 65.813455, 62.175762, 60.458172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }