{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c321a514-9442-443b-9cf9-1cfd8e50f7ce",
    "symbol": "UC87",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF hGBP acc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.187,
    "architecture_energy": 76.779,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.087,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.351,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.71,
        "rotation_up": 76.29,
        "upward_expansion": 91.4,
        "deceleration": 48.85,
        "rotation_down": 19.33,
        "downward_expansion": 13.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3598.5,
    "trend_reference": 3321.2,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083494,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2484.13391,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.448593,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.491803,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.157074,
    "excess_performance": 0.105839,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083494,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048877,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.448593,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030132,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054918,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017444,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157074,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 12.071122,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 36267,
      "relative_activity": 4.463603,
      "balance": 12.071122,
      "dry_up": 1.460329,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015606,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11003,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005939,
      "from_low_reference": 0.345737
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3321.2,
      "fair_value_reference": 2484.13391,
      "structural_low": 3007.560059,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
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        "positive_rate": 0.704545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.704545,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004535,
        "regime_survival": 0.772727,
        "best_return": 0.05947,
        "worst_return": -0.059987,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "worst_return": -0.129823,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "worst_return": -0.130018,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      {
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      },
      {
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 8674.95,
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        "fair_value": 2429.40314,
        "relative_strength": 5.402658,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 7.276493,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 9029.9,
        "trend": 3278.35,
        "fair_value": 2450.999294,
        "relative_strength": 6.625443,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 79.577848,
        "energy": 89.350862,
        "activity_lines": [
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          3399.109524,
          3346.584946
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3517.5,
        "volume": 4301,
        "typical_volume": 7497.85,
        "trend": 3292.2,
        "fair_value": 2461.76532,
        "relative_strength": 5.1743,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.012585,
        "energy": 84.317825,
        "activity_lines": [
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          3477.981818,
          3416.552381,
          3362.013978
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3518.5,
        "volume": 4066,
        "typical_volume": 7170.7,
        "trend": 3306.783333,
        "fair_value": 2472.694807,
        "relative_strength": 3.685711,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.347197,
        "energy": 73.955008,
        "activity_lines": [
          3510.8,
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          3432.614286,
          3376.613978
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3598.5,
        "volume": 36267,
        "typical_volume": 8125.05,
        "trend": 3321.2,
        "fair_value": 2484.13391,
        "relative_strength": 5.491803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.186631,
        "energy": 76.779219,
        "activity_lines": [
          3542.333333,
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          3395.434409
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}