{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c32596a9-d7e9-4610-ac4c-781999741dc3", "symbol": "LMAT", "name": "LeMaitre Vascular Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -42.607, "architecture_energy": 38.331, "architecture_maturity": 22.358, "architecture_confidence": 64.551, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.7, "rotation_up": 33.18, "upward_expansion": 22.93, "deceleration": 37.72, "rotation_down": 50.59, "downward_expansion": 48.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 93.686667, 95.931636, 98.132245, 99.703428 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 81.45, "trend_reference": 99.266445, "distance_from_trend": -0.179481, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.948243, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.00608, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.628621, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.063759, "excess_performance": -0.251212, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.179481, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041113, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.00608, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.368004, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.246286, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.231276, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.063759, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.555925, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3975563, "relative_activity": 2.68883, "balance": 0.555925, "dry_up": 1.347888, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111887, "annualized_volatility": 0.458742, "from_high_reference": -0.30807, "from_low_reference": 0.035601 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.266445, "fair_value_reference": 81.948243, "structural_low": 78.65, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.016207, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.025455, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.228437, "worst_return": -0.105761, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.018526, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.042783, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.289447, "worst_return": -0.210441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.081432, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.069882, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.437962, "worst_return": 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"Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.894462, "energy": 17.050152, "activity_lines": [ 99.470667, 97.710216, 101.243484, 100.603859 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 101.63, "volume": 1370644, "typical_volume": 1352577.5, "trend": 98.24594, "fair_value": 81.257308, "relative_strength": -2.837114, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.226841, "energy": 22.321656, "activity_lines": [ 100.868, 98.39193, 101.041259, 100.85892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 95.59, "volume": 1288664, "typical_volume": 1359769.35, "trend": 98.653125, "fair_value": 81.477898, "relative_strength": -7.069407, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.561513, "energy": 11.547932, "activity_lines": [ 99.607333, 98.085273, 100.292493, 100.687569 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 101.32, "volume": 1336795, "typical_volume": 1373820.4, "trend": 99.371062, "fair_value": 81.773489, "relative_strength": -2.059387, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 5.132379, "energy": 8.308045, "activity_lines": [ 100.147333, 98.847273, 100.143157, 100.859625 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 81.45, "volume": 3975563, "typical_volume": 1478547.6, "trend": 99.266445, "fair_value": 81.948243, "relative_strength": -24.628621, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.606919, "energy": 38.331474, "activity_lines": [ 93.686667, 95.931636, 98.132245, 99.703428 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }