{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c328b618-cfba-4487-9eac-6bd2f91c1a49", "symbol": "300300", "name": "Strait Innovation Internet Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.893, "architecture_energy": 63.199, "architecture_maturity": 76.606, "architecture_confidence": 95.663, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.99, "rotation_up": 27.67, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.15, "rotation_down": 54.96, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.340667, 7.488182, 8.781571, 9.823914 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.98, "trend_reference": 11.001333, "distance_from_trend": -0.274633, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.563782, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.434276, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.105789, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.342669, "excess_performance": -0.350069, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.274633, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.180452, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.434276, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.102309, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.261058, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.448417, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.342669, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.574119, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 320671828, "relative_activity": 1.168928, "balance": 0.574119, "dry_up": 0.935596, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136591, "annualized_volatility": 0.517434, "from_high_reference": -0.589506, "from_low_reference": 0.757709 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.001333, "fair_value_reference": 5.563782, "structural_low": 6.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.000256, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001508, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.207143, "worst_return": -0.484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.00463, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.055029, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.885965, "worst_return": -0.577778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.151648, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.069416, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.035211, "worst_return": -0.494662, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 5.485705, "relative_strength": -35.537697, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.553257, "energy": 91.468641, "activity_lines": [ 7.752, 8.568364, 10.144333, 10.998688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.58, "volume": 178867305, "typical_volume": 316225267.3, "trend": 11.888333, "fair_value": 5.500385, "relative_strength": -35.98592, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.414586, "energy": 93.395152, "activity_lines": [ 7.279333, 8.033455, 9.697048, 10.63471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.78, "volume": 255579509, "typical_volume": 283693647.65, "trend": 11.562667, "fair_value": 5.517308, "relative_strength": -34.462165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.804283, "energy": 86.989491, "activity_lines": [ 7.022667, 7.656, 9.302619, 10.30514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.36, "volume": 271529127, "typical_volume": 273952857.65, "trend": 11.236333, "fair_value": 5.538269, "relative_strength": -27.989135, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.571767, "energy": 66.610542, "activity_lines": [ 7.065333, 7.481818, 8.998714, 10.034 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.98, "volume": 320671828, "typical_volume": 274329746.6, "trend": 11.001333, "fair_value": 5.563782, "relative_strength": -26.105789, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.893386, "energy": 63.198746, "activity_lines": [ 7.340667, 7.488182, 8.781571, 9.823914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }