{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c332cf77-27f0-4845-8e81-6fc85b64ed8a", "symbol": "VS", "name": "VS_VISERVE ENTERPRISE", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.981, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.029, "architecture_energy": 28.075, "architecture_maturity": 31.402, "architecture_confidence": 53.511, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.43, "rotation_up": 49.22, "upward_expansion": 76.62, "deceleration": 65.46, "rotation_down": 20.7, "downward_expansion": 5.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.336, 0.331818, 0.30919, 0.300731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.26, "trend_reference": 0.288667, "distance_from_trend": -0.099307, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.737115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.647274, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.293651, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.071429, "excess_performance": -0.263754, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099307, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011682, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.647274, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050851, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.282937, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022648, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.071429, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.793902, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2615200, "relative_activity": 6.357371, "balance": 0.793902, "dry_up": 1.748265, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.224852, "annualized_volatility": 0.807609, "from_high_reference": -0.518519, "from_low_reference": 0.444444 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.288667, "fair_value_reference": 0.737115, "structural_low": 0.23, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.02439, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.020292, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.113333, "worst_return": -0.113095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.146667, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.188088, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.033113, "worst_return": -0.265432, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.333333, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.326791, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.033333, "worst_return": -0.470199, "sufficient": false }, { 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-02-16", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.086093, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.206061, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.024194, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.626016, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.521739, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", 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{ "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.38, "volume": 178100, "typical_volume": 305320.0, "trend": 0.285667, "fair_value": 0.754038, "relative_strength": 1.263707, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.987431, "energy": 78.303647, "activity_lines": [ 0.366667, 0.330909, 0.305714, 0.297118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.37, "volume": 26300, "typical_volume": 288980.0, "trend": 0.288333, "fair_value": 0.745833, "relative_strength": 0.285143, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.050294, "energy": 74.346944, "activity_lines": [ 0.373333, 0.342182, 0.312952, 0.302559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.26, "volume": 2615200, "typical_volume": 411365.0, "trend": 0.288667, "fair_value": 0.737115, "relative_strength": -28.293651, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.028763, "energy": 28.074851, "activity_lines": [ 0.336, 0.331818, 0.30919, 0.300731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }