{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c332eb28-fb1b-4100-8a35-b7930e0af1b9", "symbol": "688334", "name": "Xi'an High Voltage Apparatus Research Institute Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.883, "architecture_energy": 47.254, "architecture_maturity": 40.865, "architecture_confidence": 90.234, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.02, "rotation_up": 24.6, "upward_expansion": 7.22, "deceleration": 56.72, "rotation_down": 49.21, "downward_expansion": 78.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.959333, 18.065454, 18.764909, 19.645442 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 18.27, "trend_reference": 20.857713, "distance_from_trend": -0.124065, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.09091, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.068989, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.766661, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.242495, "excess_performance": -0.199291, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.124065, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02017, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.068989, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184631, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087667, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0763, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.242495, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.556036, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7609187, "relative_activity": 0.712312, "balance": 0.556036, "dry_up": 0.816955, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06968, "annualized_volatility": 0.265592, "from_high_reference": -0.357715, "from_low_reference": 0.077241 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.857713, "fair_value_reference": 17.09091, "structural_low": 16.959999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.029444, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.023462, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.029444, "worst_return": -0.029444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, 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-62.074311, "energy": 52.716761, "activity_lines": [ 17.860666, 18.069272, 18.893968, 19.814323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.27, "volume": 7609187, "typical_volume": 10682381.2, "trend": 20.857713, "fair_value": 17.09091, "relative_strength": -8.766661, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.883085, "energy": 47.25383, "activity_lines": [ 17.959333, 18.065454, 18.764909, 19.645442 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }