{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c34b011b-c50a-492a-85cc-2b49ee0d7c13",
    "symbol": "300243",
    "name": "Shandong Ruifeng Chemical Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 73.384,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.153,
    "architecture_energy": 44.926,
    "architecture_maturity": 3.36,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.519,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.84,
        "rotation_up": 14.25,
        "upward_expansion": 22.07,
        "deceleration": 53.58,
        "rotation_down": 66.65,
        "downward_expansion": 49.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.861333,
        15.520295,
        16.698565,
        16.249539
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.95,
    "trend_reference": 15.20859,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.017003,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.79816,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.384495,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.320429,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.323009,
    "excess_performance": 0.315609,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017003,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14617,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.384495,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.419334,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093204,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180071,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.323009,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.965974,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 78897011,
      "relative_activity": 0.755269,
      "balance": 0.965974,
      "dry_up": 0.804096,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.207904,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.776971,
      "from_high_reference": -0.376564,
      "from_low_reference": 0.533333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.20859,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.79816,
      "structural_low": 10.96,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.030544,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017494,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.170359,
        "worst_return": -0.129896,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.212714,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.020682,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.219653,
        "worst_return": -0.064935,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.133252,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003104,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.78709,
        "worst_return": -0.231474,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.020859,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015194,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.360625,
        "worst_return": -0.318907,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.356218,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.09375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.061538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.082992,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.07262,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.016641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.00434,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 117877358.25,
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        "fair_value": 10.74175,
        "relative_strength": 0.150237,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 26.071608,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.79,
        "volume": 108052349,
        "typical_volume": 114390675.75,
        "trend": 15.057923,
        "fair_value": 10.76237,
        "relative_strength": -1.312486,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.260165,
        "energy": 39.718268,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.95,
        "volume": 78897011,
        "typical_volume": 104462148.45,
        "trend": 15.20859,
        "fair_value": 10.79816,
        "relative_strength": 9.320429,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.153403,
        "energy": 44.926055,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}