{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3544937-66be-404e-af22-dad0fa9ebb25", "symbol": "KOB", "name": "Koba Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.926, "architecture_energy": 19.035, "architecture_maturity": 93.76, "architecture_confidence": 73.959, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.75, "rotation_up": 26.9, "upward_expansion": 18.55, "deceleration": 46.22, "rotation_down": 27.49, "downward_expansion": 57.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.032733, 0.032, 0.033195, 0.034856 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.033, "trend_reference": 0.037433, "distance_from_trend": -0.118433, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.074643, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.557896, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.822587, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.175, "excess_performance": -0.238706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.118433, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147951, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.557896, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003935, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.278226, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138022, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.175, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.03769, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1990780, "relative_activity": 1.921792, "balance": 1.03769, "dry_up": 1.935622, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132867, "annualized_volatility": 0.673001, "from_high_reference": -0.611765, "from_low_reference": 0.222222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.037433, "fair_value_reference": 0.074643, "structural_low": 0.027, 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"gate": "down", "direction": -67.488287, "energy": 50.603244, "activity_lines": [ 0.030333, 0.031691, 0.034281, 0.036176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.03, "volume": 390463, "typical_volume": 1167208.9, "trend": 0.037867, "fair_value": 0.076464, "relative_strength": -31.247048, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.357585, "energy": 61.189513, "activity_lines": [ 0.030067, 0.031127, 0.033676, 0.035656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.035, "volume": 3782864, "typical_volume": 1239056.05, "trend": 0.037867, "fair_value": 0.075791, "relative_strength": -19.297228, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.3902, "energy": 36.100273, "activity_lines": [ 0.031533, 0.031618, 0.033614, 0.035471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.033, "volume": 1856315, "typical_volume": 1002990.7, "trend": 0.037667, "fair_value": 0.075169, "relative_strength": -25.57014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.851819, "energy": 27.042508, "activity_lines": [ 0.032333, 0.0318, 0.033386, 0.035157 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.033, "volume": 1990780, "typical_volume": 1035897.5, "trend": 0.037433, "fair_value": 0.074643, "relative_strength": -27.822587, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.926293, "energy": 19.035261, "activity_lines": [ 0.032733, 0.032, 0.033195, 0.034856 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }