{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3550439-a847-40b0-84f2-3f6686b5b13a", "symbol": "NUAI", "name": "New Era Energy & Digital, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -15.92, "architecture_energy": 9.803, "architecture_maturity": 17.979, "architecture_confidence": 43.78, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.4, "rotation_up": 13.43, "upward_expansion": 14.79, "deceleration": 62.04, "rotation_down": 43.83, "downward_expansion": 59.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.796333, 4.910909, 4.885857, 4.848366 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.28, "trend_reference": 4.918833, "distance_from_trend": 0.073425, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.090543, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.708438, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.890018, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.043478, "excess_performance": -0.143975, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073425, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06626, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.708438, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098717, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.1389, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.29317, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.043478, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.888649, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22886648, "relative_activity": 0.658427, "balance": 0.888649, "dry_up": 1.006962, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.260546, "annualized_volatility": 0.717482, "from_high_reference": -0.440974, "from_low_reference": 15.458853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.918833, "fair_value_reference": 3.090543, "structural_low": 3.52, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.2912, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.295706, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 3.41, "volume": 1545472, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 2.86, "volume": 1517883, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, 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"activity_lines": [ 5.130667, 5.135545, 4.909643, 4.881409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.075, "volume": 29533618, "typical_volume": 31924139.15, "trend": 4.814333, "fair_value": 3.02574, "relative_strength": -3.127502, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.685174, "energy": 9.187235, "activity_lines": [ 4.700667, 4.953818, 4.84269, 4.834366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.775, "volume": 56926177, "typical_volume": 34196328.3, "trend": 4.8215, "fair_value": 3.04632, "relative_strength": 13.126707, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.241428, "energy": 11.875664, "activity_lines": [ 4.595667, 4.916, 4.84481, 4.831828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.66, "volume": 30659874, "typical_volume": 35038679.95, "trend": 4.862167, "fair_value": 3.065084, "relative_strength": 7.776318, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.192132, "energy": 19.268066, "activity_lines": [ 4.550667, 4.859182, 4.834952, 4.821409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.28, "volume": 22886648, "typical_volume": 34759578.95, "trend": 4.918833, "fair_value": 3.090543, "relative_strength": 13.890018, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.919624, "energy": 9.803497, "activity_lines": [ 4.796333, 4.910909, 4.885857, 4.848366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }