{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c35a5a4a-3224-4b35-a071-9c1acd221955", "symbol": "688488", "name": "Jiangsu Aidea Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.618, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -3.96, "architecture_energy": 14.38, "architecture_maturity": 71.612, "architecture_confidence": 58.491, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 65.25, "rotation_up": 37.54, "upward_expansion": 19.45, "deceleration": 44.07, "rotation_down": 16.32, "downward_expansion": 53.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.537334, 14.687273, 14.946952, 15.453484 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 17.540001, "trend_reference": 16.207, "distance_from_trend": 0.082248, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.796603, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.370676, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.376153, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.056627, "excess_performance": 0.09983, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082248, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007046, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.370676, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014299, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.123762, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108926, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.056627, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.31924, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69790846, "relative_activity": 1.559021, "balance": 1.31924, "dry_up": 1.576968, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125121, "annualized_volatility": 0.611425, "from_high_reference": -0.222173, "from_low_reference": 0.514681 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.207, "fair_value_reference": 12.796603, "structural_low": 11.58, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.050938, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.049152, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.29985, "worst_return": -0.175993, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.118351, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.029927, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.392562, "worst_return": -0.295543, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.182701, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.228574, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.016529, "worst_return": -0.178733, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 12.745128, "relative_strength": -0.969334, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.00703, "energy": 25.068464, "activity_lines": [ 14.626, 14.063636, 14.927143, 15.518387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.83, "volume": 48491440, "typical_volume": 42605563.15, "trend": 16.166667, "fair_value": 12.759103, "relative_strength": -8.91901, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.362061, "energy": 23.559125, "activity_lines": [ 14.538, 14.025091, 14.755143, 15.364882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.540001, "volume": 69790846, "typical_volume": 44765813.15, "trend": 16.207, "fair_value": 12.796603, "relative_strength": 12.376153, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.960113, "energy": 14.379685, "activity_lines": [ 15.537334, 14.687273, 14.946952, 15.453484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }