{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3673eb8-8fbb-4c41-8b98-bb2aa1c7926a", "symbol": "DXBG", "name": "Dynamic Global Fixed Income Fund", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 75.898, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.112, "architecture_energy": 41.359, "architecture_maturity": 24.161, "architecture_confidence": 88.26, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.42, "rotation_up": 13.34, "upward_expansion": 7.29, "deceleration": 42.16, "rotation_down": 59.95, "downward_expansion": 82.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.631896, 19.642413, 19.659069, 19.661825 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.629999, "trend_reference": 19.669544, "distance_from_trend": -0.00201, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.340812, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.014952, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.150557, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.003844, "excess_performance": -0.124265, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00201, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00138, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.014952, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005767, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.111506, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005419, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003844, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.467836, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12500, "relative_activity": 0.992063, "balance": 1.467836, "dry_up": 0.845238, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00315, "annualized_volatility": 0.017354, "from_high_reference": -0.012314, "from_low_reference": 0.016869 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.669544, "fair_value_reference": 19.340812, "structural_low": 19.505096, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.00109, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012524, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.003237, "worst_return": -0.005416, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 19.334313, "relative_strength": -9.469025, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.407161, "energy": 44.330153, "activity_lines": [ 19.634079, 19.656646, 19.663914, 19.666936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.629999, "volume": 7300, "typical_volume": 15645.0, "trend": 19.669809, "fair_value": 19.337599, "relative_strength": -8.689805, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.752402, "energy": 46.240008, "activity_lines": [ 19.633382, 19.649154, 19.66144, 19.664393 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.629999, "volume": 12500, "typical_volume": 12600.0, "trend": 19.669544, "fair_value": 19.340812, "relative_strength": -11.150557, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.112017, "energy": 41.358746, "activity_lines": [ 19.631896, 19.642413, 19.659069, 19.661825 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }