{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c375c0c0-61d5-4bdd-bbc0-a31404219482",
    "symbol": "DRI",
    "name": "1&1 AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.885,
    "architecture_energy": 56.609,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.826,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.846,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.36,
        "rotation_up": 20.13,
        "upward_expansion": 9.37,
        "deceleration": 58.02,
        "rotation_down": 60.73,
        "downward_expansion": 82.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.075334,
        20.409637,
        21.39449,
        22.038321
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 20.0,
    "trend_reference": 23.011931,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.130886,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 17.75135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.126675,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -27.608726,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.249275,
    "excess_performance": -0.423522,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130886,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033812,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126675,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.210189,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.276087,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157992,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.249275,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.022044,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.022044,
      "dry_up": 2.883014,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057138,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.370224,
      "from_high_reference": -0.260356,
      "from_low_reference": 0.084651
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.011931,
      "fair_value_reference": 17.75135,
      "structural_low": 18.9,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": -0.021739,
        "positive_rate": 0.393939,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.606061,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03049,
        "regime_survival": 0.878788,
        "best_return": 0.247082,
        "worst_return": -0.165192,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.10989,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.072791,
        "regime_survival": 0.818182,
        "best_return": 0.327032,
        "worst_return": -0.238259,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.195302,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.116564,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.555766,
        "worst_return": -0.319081,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.474816,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
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        "return": 0.007519,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "typical_volume": 19.3,
        "trend": 23.545127,
        "fair_value": 16.75157,
        "relative_strength": -10.782136,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.003691,
        "energy": 16.836982,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.338251,
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          23.980399,
          23.982909
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.3,
        "trend": 23.634595,
        "fair_value": 16.830511,
        "relative_strength": -11.80954,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.730864,
        "energy": 27.114869,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.982373,
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          23.80151,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 22.500109,
        "volume": 254,
        "typical_volume": 32.0,
        "trend": 23.720737,
        "fair_value": 16.906466,
        "relative_strength": -11.342933,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.246779,
        "energy": 46.172577,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.693015,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 22.9,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 32.0,
        "trend": 23.768989,
        "fair_value": 16.9888,
        "relative_strength": -11.49926,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.133307,
        "energy": 45.91388,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.653362,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.05,
        "trend": 23.817245,
        "fair_value": 17.069674,
        "relative_strength": -13.558329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.03624,
        "energy": 50.292092,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.750059,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 23.950001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.05,
        "trend": 23.900498,
        "fair_value": 17.155941,
        "relative_strength": -8.753404,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -32.862136,
        "energy": 19.018199,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.450001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 24.00208,
        "fair_value": 17.246049,
        "relative_strength": -9.323161,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.286427,
        "energy": 14.600206,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 21.200001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 30.0,
        "trend": 23.987013,
        "fair_value": 17.319075,
        "relative_strength": -24.263895,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.986499,
        "energy": 27.197886,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.963334,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 20.15,
        "volume": 213,
        "typical_volume": 40.65,
        "trend": 23.848809,
        "fair_value": 17.38378,
        "relative_strength": -26.285594,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.970373,
        "energy": 65.606898,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.983334,
          22.419099,
          22.874239,
          23.352195
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 20.1,
        "volume": 255,
        "typical_volume": 53.4,
        "trend": 23.71559,
        "fair_value": 17.45236,
        "relative_strength": -27.876676,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -80.257718,
        "energy": 85.197773,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.17,
          21.964562,
          22.579134,
          23.110336
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 20.15,
        "volume": 255,
        "typical_volume": 66.15,
        "trend": 23.613971,
        "fair_value": 17.516811,
        "relative_strength": -26.454251,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.341322,
        "energy": 87.968549,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.563334,
          21.571825,
          22.309011,
          22.880298
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 20.5,
        "volume": 765,
        "typical_volume": 104.4,
        "trend": 23.489097,
        "fair_value": 17.583887,
        "relative_strength": -23.45935,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.61335,
        "energy": 84.928292,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.326667,
          21.283639,
          22.083175,
          22.679397
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.5,
        "volume": 90,
        "typical_volume": 93.6,
        "trend": 23.367548,
        "fair_value": 17.649946,
        "relative_strength": -24.238971,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.197045,
        "energy": 81.379299,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.353333,
          21.031818,
          21.877316,
          22.486552
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.620001,
        "volume": 530,
        "typical_volume": 120.1,
        "trend": 23.200036,
        "fair_value": 17.69854,
        "relative_strength": -27.148235,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.496828,
        "energy": 70.943528,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.133334,
          20.656364,
          21.610475,
          22.244775
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 120.1,
        "trend": 23.011931,
        "fair_value": 17.75135,
        "relative_strength": -27.608726,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.885373,
        "energy": 56.609248,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.075334,
          20.409637,
          21.39449,
          22.038321
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}