{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3770078-7471-4243-8856-798fa0634413", "symbol": "301585", "name": "Zhejiang Lanyu Digital Technology Co. ,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.026, "architecture_energy": 36.237, "architecture_maturity": 37.364, "architecture_confidence": 84.63, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.5, "rotation_up": 24.43, "upward_expansion": 4.9, "deceleration": 57.32, "rotation_down": 41.24, "downward_expansion": 73.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.248, 25.367984, 26.181054, 27.06765 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 25.709999, "trend_reference": 28.408487, "distance_from_trend": -0.094989, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.44312, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.207536, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.333999, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.243824, "excess_performance": -0.251223, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094989, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064459, "read": "Falling" 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23.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.028736, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.100681, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.028736, "worst_return": -0.028736, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.014943, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 55.652473, "volume": 20101997, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 37.470127, "volume": 57036271, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { 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28.76082, "fair_value": 32.609701, "relative_strength": -22.883839, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.973469, "energy": 47.480296, "activity_lines": [ 25.144, 25.377855, 26.499955, 27.473003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.35, "volume": 3793300, "typical_volume": 4684266.7, "trend": 28.582153, "fair_value": 32.523276, "relative_strength": -16.101458, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.538275, "energy": 41.628549, "activity_lines": [ 25.103334, 25.312638, 26.311838, 27.25295 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.709999, "volume": 3415013, "typical_volume": 4635047.1, "trend": 28.408487, "fair_value": 32.44312, "relative_strength": -18.333999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.025977, "energy": 36.236672, "activity_lines": [ 25.248, 25.367984, 26.181054, 27.06765 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }