{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c385dbb5-9e2a-43fa-afa0-9b5b5ea03973", "symbol": "DCOM", "name": "Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.301, "architecture_energy": 45.595, "architecture_maturity": 61.107, "architecture_confidence": 79.182, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.78, "rotation_up": 51.0, "upward_expansion": 79.89, "deceleration": 64.57, "rotation_down": 24.99, "downward_expansion": 6.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.234316, 40.026928, 38.934603, 37.707718 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 40.32, "trend_reference": 36.167202, "distance_from_trend": 0.114822, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.631671, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.513987, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.122087, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.120393, "excess_performance": -0.005232, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.114822, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110759, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.513987, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013837, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.091221, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017133, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.120393, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.100977, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2262848, "relative_activity": 1.489986, "balance": 1.100977, "dry_up": 1.160144, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052102, "annualized_volatility": 0.222811, "from_high_reference": -0.039314, "from_low_reference": 0.596884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.167202, "fair_value_reference": 26.631671, "structural_low": 30.375205, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.002718, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.011802, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.204027, "worst_return": -0.169379, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.013274, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.01585, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.51828, "worst_return": -0.199022, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.107082, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.010151, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.498126, "worst_return": -0.453709, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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53.40036, "activity_lines": [ 39.759476, 39.037395, 37.590778, 36.433185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.32, "volume": 1445476, "typical_volume": 1452384.95, "trend": 35.13537, "fair_value": 26.254074, "relative_strength": 14.941463, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.566931, "energy": 54.501247, "activity_lines": [ 39.962881, 39.394142, 37.993022, 36.78713 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.56, "volume": 1568813, "typical_volume": 1478615.25, "trend": 35.428962, "fair_value": 26.377272, "relative_strength": 12.99753, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.268505, "energy": 47.534367, "activity_lines": [ 39.880488, 39.556343, 38.283901, 37.07259 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.76, "volume": 1770524, "typical_volume": 1510088.4, "trend": 35.806565, "fair_value": 26.50747, "relative_strength": 14.628747, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.571974, "energy": 48.419489, "activity_lines": [ 40.144739, 39.866727, 38.651855, 37.416528 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.32, "volume": 2262848, "typical_volume": 1518703.7, "trend": 36.167202, "fair_value": 26.631671, "relative_strength": 9.122087, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.301017, "energy": 45.59538, "activity_lines": [ 40.234316, 40.026928, 38.934603, 37.707718 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }