{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3951931-6a74-4c1b-9f30-b33e6a36c034", "symbol": "EOAN", "name": "E.ON SE", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.457, "architecture_energy": 53.29, "architecture_maturity": 10.959, "architecture_confidence": 65.634, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.6, "rotation_up": 64.22, "upward_expansion": 82.77, "deceleration": 49.63, "rotation_down": 12.87, "downward_expansion": 9.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.089666, 18.941181, 18.689228, 18.587548 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.014999, "trend_reference": 18.336785, "distance_from_trend": 0.036987, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.577039, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.400526, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.718883, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.105928, "excess_performance": -0.068319, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036987, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066465, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.400526, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010834, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087189, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023735, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105928, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.720456, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 534, "relative_activity": 1.974487, "balance": 0.720456, "dry_up": 0.928083, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031048, "annualized_volatility": 0.252966, "from_high_reference": -0.038217, "from_low_reference": 0.337305 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.336785, "fair_value_reference": 13.577039, "structural_low": 17.164584, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.001085, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.010515, "regime_survival": 0.763158, "best_return": 0.108927, "worst_return": -0.151974, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.055783, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.012567, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.235262, "worst_return": -0.165366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.077181, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.04416, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.304644, "worst_return": -0.286383, "sufficient": 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18.179333, 18.192363, 18.320665, 18.130563 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 19.139999, "volume": 552, "typical_volume": 328.35, "trend": 17.749141, "fair_value": 13.291214, "relative_strength": -8.189595, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.630969, "energy": 32.339047, "activity_lines": [ 18.491333, 18.354272, 18.393125, 18.229177 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 19.014999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 322.45, "trend": 17.888306, "fair_value": 13.346881, "relative_strength": -7.356632, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.041325, "energy": 47.118358, "activity_lines": [ 18.695333, 18.483999, 18.448411, 18.310845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.280001, "volume": 170, "typical_volume": 330.95, "trend": 18.018672, "fair_value": 13.403757, "relative_strength": -4.048062, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.917303, "energy": 65.510285, "activity_lines": [ 18.94, 18.658727, 18.524491, 18.400632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.504999, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 281.5, "trend": 18.151361, "fair_value": 13.462479, "relative_strength": -4.105667, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.780366, "energy": 76.155646, "activity_lines": [ 19.201, 18.849181, 18.621284, 18.496524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.795, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 247.5, "trend": 18.247766, "fair_value": 13.518953, "relative_strength": -7.295287, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.278885, "energy": 62.975723, "activity_lines": [ 19.133666, 18.879454, 18.643636, 18.538049 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.014999, "volume": 534, "typical_volume": 270.45, "trend": 18.336785, "fair_value": 13.577039, "relative_strength": -8.718883, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.456676, "energy": 53.289651, "activity_lines": [ 19.089666, 18.941181, 18.689228, 18.587548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }