{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3b079ff-46f5-48d3-8d62-f3580b8d9825", "symbol": "SWKS", "name": "Skyworks Solutions Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 83.609, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 19.503, "architecture_energy": 14.509, "architecture_maturity": 36.524, "architecture_confidence": 76.877, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.64, "rotation_up": 26.1, "upward_expansion": 42.46, "deceleration": 78.45, "rotation_down": 35.9, "downward_expansion": 36.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.128667, 64.541636, 66.655026, 64.999177 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 70.62, "trend_reference": 62.754218, "distance_from_trend": 0.125343, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 78.279589, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.097849, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.626015, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.160471, "excess_performance": -0.026983, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.125343, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012659, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.097849, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081356, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.05626, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108167, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.160471, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.951175, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23727927, "relative_activity": 1.008193, "balance": 0.951175, "dry_up": 1.241816, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120301, "annualized_volatility": 0.438126, "from_high_reference": -0.198171, "from_low_reference": 0.371482 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.754218, "fair_value_reference": 78.279589, "structural_low": 51.491746, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.002172, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.007811, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.06789, "worst_return": -0.110006, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.011918, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.095926, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.139952, "worst_return": -0.217929, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.132332, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.20095, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.04931, "worst_return": -0.379664, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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66.094637, 64.466639 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.62, "volume": 23727927, "typical_volume": 23535099.95, "trend": 62.754218, "fair_value": 78.279589, "relative_strength": -5.626015, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.503452, "energy": 14.508669, "activity_lines": [ 64.128667, 64.541636, 66.655026, 64.999177 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }