{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3b28d3c-2941-4652-b527-11dc0b42171f", "symbol": "ECL", "name": "Ecolab Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 62.851, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 28.514, "architecture_energy": 21.462, "architecture_maturity": 16.936, "architecture_confidence": 50.77, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.17, "rotation_up": 46.73, "upward_expansion": 39.96, "deceleration": 40.2, "rotation_down": 23.35, "downward_expansion": 14.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 277.506, 276.390783, 270.217538, 270.383513 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 285.17, "trend_reference": 272.852039, "distance_from_trend": 0.045145, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 240.848815, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.184021, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.185929, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.012517, "excess_performance": -0.138142, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045145, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013791, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.184021, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096131, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061859, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101922, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.012517, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.248072, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6460405, "relative_activity": 0.875009, "balance": 2.248072, "dry_up": 0.8516, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047116, "annualized_volatility": 0.228543, "from_high_reference": -0.072992, "from_low_reference": 0.175941 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 272.852039, "fair_value_reference": 240.848815, 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"direction": 19.520174, "energy": 37.786978, "activity_lines": [ 277.258962, 269.958414, 266.474558, 269.270965 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 272.83, "volume": 5113514, "typical_volume": 7687810.25, "trend": 271.662427, "fair_value": 238.938297, "relative_strength": -7.400997, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.856337, "energy": 33.899713, "activity_lines": [ 276.526, 271.547494, 266.954591, 269.36918 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 268.75, "volume": 5836978, "typical_volume": 7585391.75, "trend": 271.809572, "fair_value": 239.520518, "relative_strength": -7.966233, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.241143, "energy": 17.959653, "activity_lines": [ 273.891333, 272.044106, 267.20738, 269.181281 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 277.63, "volume": 7739389, "typical_volume": 7552742.6, "trend": 272.355833, "fair_value": 240.166184, "relative_strength": -5.73442, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.453458, "energy": 14.250199, "activity_lines": [ 274.241333, 273.759112, 268.3651, 269.556793 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 285.17, "volume": 6460405, "typical_volume": 7383242.95, "trend": 272.852039, "fair_value": 240.848815, "relative_strength": -6.185929, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.513655, "energy": 21.461825, "activity_lines": [ 277.506, 276.390783, 270.217538, 270.383513 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }