{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3c191a2-9392-40c9-83e8-b75dc0aa91b8", "symbol": "VXUS", "name": "VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL STOCK INDEX FUND ETF SHARES", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.16, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.29, "architecture_energy": 33.175, "architecture_maturity": 30.726, "architecture_confidence": 74.3, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.41, "rotation_up": 41.49, "upward_expansion": 69.94, "deceleration": 87.45, "rotation_down": 25.86, "downward_expansion": 7.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.112667, 84.944237, 84.445385, 83.294795 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 87.21, "trend_reference": 81.987417, "distance_from_trend": 0.0637, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 64.203868, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.358329, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.965346, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.08194, "excess_performance": -0.105513, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0637, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045575, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.358329, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026417, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.019653, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014949, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08194, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.798356, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 23246211, "relative_activity": 0.786438, "balance": 1.798356, "dry_up": 0.782403, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03309, "annualized_volatility": 0.191529, "from_high_reference": -0.015911, "from_low_reference": 0.279318 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 81.987417, "fair_value_reference": 64.203868, "structural_low": 73.970852, "invalidation": "A 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63.761302, "relative_strength": -0.8732, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.48378, "energy": 19.932716, "activity_lines": [ 84.044, 84.47803, 83.78887, 82.729549 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 84.59, "volume": 22927623, "typical_volume": 30276361.35, "trend": 81.660511, "fair_value": 63.973018, "relative_strength": -0.051567, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.309307, "energy": 18.758416, "activity_lines": [ 84.145333, 84.477535, 84.012059, 82.936764 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.21, "volume": 23246211, "typical_volume": 29558867.0, "trend": 81.987417, "fair_value": 64.203868, "relative_strength": -1.965346, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.289532, "energy": 33.17522, "activity_lines": [ 85.112667, 84.944237, 84.445385, 83.294795 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }