{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3c7ed97-471d-427b-bafe-58c702791d17", "symbol": "688228", "name": "UCAP Cloud Information Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.092, "architecture_energy": 65.961, "architecture_maturity": 90.739, "architecture_confidence": 93.095, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.31, "rotation_up": 23.87, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.68, "rotation_down": 63.55, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.045333, 71.442909, 81.397143, 92.681549 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 74.669998, "trend_reference": 117.177, "distance_from_trend": -0.362759, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 78.358505, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.047072, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.173788, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.694976, "excess_performance": -0.651772, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.362759, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232421, "read": "Falling" 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"structural_low": 56.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.049313, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.037115, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.546065, "worst_return": -0.209382, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.177168, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.13311, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.936704, "worst_return": -0.332224, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.204053, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.182655, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.293284, "worst_return": -0.140206, "sufficient": false 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"down", "direction": -88.284955, "energy": 74.403379, "activity_lines": [ 73.075334, 78.958546, 89.08162, 104.15585 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.0, "volume": 8497532, "typical_volume": 8289669.8, "trend": 126.010667, "fair_value": 78.067228, "relative_strength": -54.476365, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.699917, "energy": 73.64202, "activity_lines": [ 67.692, 74.429092, 85.601477, 99.552882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.010002, "volume": 9313940, "typical_volume": 8177191.95, "trend": 121.175, "fair_value": 78.176965, "relative_strength": -50.14307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.373557, "energy": 67.851348, "activity_lines": [ 66.096001, 71.756001, 82.968667, 95.681871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.669998, "volume": 15263360, "typical_volume": 8508007.7, "trend": 117.177, "fair_value": 78.358505, "relative_strength": -45.173788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.09229, "energy": 65.961216, "activity_lines": [ 68.045333, 71.442909, 81.397143, 92.681549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }