{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c3e164d9-eefd-4412-b8e1-6e0b498d3352", "symbol": "600735", "name": "Shandong Hiking International Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 69.019, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.775, "architecture_energy": 21.015, "architecture_maturity": 23.454, "architecture_confidence": 63.596, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.89, "rotation_up": 22.45, "upward_expansion": 12.79, "deceleration": 50.53, "rotation_down": 40.81, "downward_expansion": 64.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.225333, 6.218364, 6.386429, 6.469699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 6.48, "trend_reference": 6.498333, "distance_from_trend": -0.002821, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.733324, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.130234, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.357918, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050243, "excess_performance": 0.093447, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002821, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02422, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.130234, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035781, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033579, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143116, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050243, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.326477, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19805705, "relative_activity": 0.7368, "balance": 1.326477, "dry_up": 0.908777, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099596, "annualized_volatility": 0.448919, "from_high_reference": -0.262799, "from_low_reference": 0.521127 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.498333, "fair_value_reference": 5.733324, "structural_low": 5.51, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.083114, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.057519, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.209235, "worst_return": -0.257831, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.062049, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.04084, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.16317, "worst_return": -0.433708, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.033563, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.064628, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.762238, "worst_return": -0.360674, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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-14.068738, "energy": 19.299707, "activity_lines": [ 6.277333, 6.385818, 6.550333, 6.531204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.81, "volume": 30700171, "typical_volume": 23529999.9, "trend": 6.364667, "fair_value": 5.72674, "relative_strength": -5.602629, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.848368, "energy": 33.623818, "activity_lines": [ 6.122667, 6.264909, 6.471667, 6.496946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.18, "volume": 32057767, "typical_volume": 25132888.25, "trend": 6.407, "fair_value": 5.728781, "relative_strength": 0.148993, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.399761, "energy": 16.263717, "activity_lines": [ 6.13, 6.226364, 6.432619, 6.485032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.13, "volume": 15150560, "typical_volume": 25890416.25, "trend": 6.440667, "fair_value": 5.730058, "relative_strength": -0.168058, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.197521, "energy": 19.686393, "activity_lines": [ 6.133333, 6.187273, 6.391429, 6.467161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.48, "volume": 19805705, "typical_volume": 26880701.5, "trend": 6.498333, "fair_value": 5.733324, "relative_strength": 3.357918, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.774608, "energy": 21.014826, "activity_lines": [ 6.225333, 6.218364, 6.386429, 6.469699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }