{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c3ec4bb6-faa6-4460-91d8-6b97bbf278bf",
    "symbol": "601088",
    "name": "China Shenhua Energy Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 57.898,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 5.316,
    "architecture_energy": 18.532,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.853,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.789,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.36,
        "rotation_up": 52.38,
        "upward_expansion": 32.53,
        "deceleration": 47.27,
        "rotation_down": 17.09,
        "downward_expansion": 21.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.564667,
        43.311321,
        44.04606,
        44.496027
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 43.939999,
    "trend_reference": 44.413733,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.010666,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.79406,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.194214,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.513338,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.047937,
    "excess_performance": 0.091141,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010666,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015297,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.194214,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090742,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045133,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024626,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047937,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.177427,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 173477303,
      "relative_activity": 1.143062,
      "balance": 1.177427,
      "dry_up": 1.309862,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065903,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.323079,
      "from_high_reference": -0.127829,
      "from_low_reference": 0.206962
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 44.413733,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.79406,
      "structural_low": 37.90791,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.012302,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005189,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.080282,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.127465,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.016453,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 162081365.1,
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        "fair_value": 36.406134,
        "relative_strength": 10.204893,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.175724,
        "energy": 56.1996,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 157742943.5,
        "trend": 44.111733,
        "fair_value": 36.537593,
        "relative_strength": 12.754469,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.848376,
        "energy": 10.003572,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.689999,
        "volume": 183506700,
        "typical_volume": 153149101.7,
        "trend": 44.299067,
        "fair_value": 36.668088,
        "relative_strength": 11.90108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 10.510238,
        "energy": 16.575387,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.939999,
        "volume": 173477303,
        "typical_volume": 151765471.1,
        "trend": 44.413733,
        "fair_value": 36.79406,
        "relative_strength": 4.513338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 5.316423,
        "energy": 18.531506,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}