{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c3f8cbd3-8e94-4188-be94-bc075fbe45d7",
    "symbol": "UKDV",
    "name": "State Street SPDR S&P UK Dividend Aristocrats UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.201,
    "architecture_energy": 96.153,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.498,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.536,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 89.31,
        "upward_expansion": 100.0,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.05,
        "downward_expansion": 22.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.959867,
        14.5904,
        14.053857,
        13.740157
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 15.196,
    "trend_reference": 13.43329,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.13122,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.682341,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.300767,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.471447,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.177075,
    "excess_performance": 0.094192,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13122,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044911,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.300767,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142948,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054714,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043913,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.177075,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.762911,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 2.762911,
      "dry_up": 0.807508,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017039,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.147461,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.259312
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.43329,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.682341,
      "structural_low": 12.27031,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.011783,
        "positive_rate": 0.586207,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.586207,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002891,
        "regime_survival": 0.689655,
        "best_return": 0.081892,
        "worst_return": -0.059359,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "median_return": 0.008649,
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        "worst_return": -0.03807,
        "sufficient": true
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        "worst_return": -0.120008,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "energy": 38.934344,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 3258.45,
        "trend": 12.74416,
        "fair_value": 11.333541,
        "relative_strength": 0.350536,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 3905.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3719.25,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 0.833031,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 13.03783,
        "fair_value": 11.498944,
        "relative_strength": -1.162606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.734663,
        "energy": 84.481255,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 2606.95,
        "trend": 13.092794,
        "fair_value": 11.527462,
        "relative_strength": -0.236474,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 94.598525,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.862267,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 1849,
        "typical_volume": 2687.3,
        "trend": 13.151787,
        "fair_value": 11.55565,
        "relative_strength": 1.156093,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.495146,
        "energy": 94.788451,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.036133,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.656,
        "volume": 9519,
        "typical_volume": 3081.45,
        "trend": 13.216986,
        "fair_value": 11.584733,
        "relative_strength": 3.22434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.230433,
        "energy": 97.64682,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.287733,
          13.966473,
          13.579157,
          13.401634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.842,
        "volume": 18,
        "typical_volume": 3060.35,
        "trend": 13.289572,
        "fair_value": 11.614813,
        "relative_strength": 4.637631,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.446474,
        "energy": 97.207307,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.5304,
          14.173382,
          13.72857,
          13.506474
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.082,
        "volume": 125,
        "typical_volume": 2991.3,
        "trend": 13.36633,
        "fair_value": 11.648113,
        "relative_strength": 6.157643,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.270919,
        "energy": 97.164703,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.7664,
          14.386945,
          13.891697,
          13.622114
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.196,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2991.3,
        "trend": 13.43329,
        "fair_value": 11.682341,
        "relative_strength": 5.471447,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.200689,
        "energy": 96.152813,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.959867,
          14.5904,
          14.053857,
          13.740157
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}