{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c415d7bc-65fa-4477-9b43-11026915306f",
    "symbol": "SAP",
    "name": "Saputo Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -48.662,
    "architecture_energy": 42.969,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.059,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.695,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.3,
        "rotation_up": 15.82,
        "upward_expansion": 11.44,
        "deceleration": 36.7,
        "rotation_down": 55.98,
        "downward_expansion": 82.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.475333,
        40.9768,
        41.174461,
        41.408834
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 40.57,
    "trend_reference": 41.641579,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.025733,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.583217,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.326545,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -7.967773,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.046346,
    "excess_performance": -0.166767,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025733,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016933,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.326545,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064677,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079678,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.109402,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046346,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.398585,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2965400,
      "relative_activity": 0.82436,
      "balance": 1.398585,
      "dry_up": 0.980592,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054651,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.303558,
      "from_high_reference": -0.100244,
      "from_low_reference": 0.290093
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.641579,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.583217,
      "structural_low": 37.330825,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.002459,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021362,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.057997,
        "worst_return": -0.156865,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.041873,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085024,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.078089,
        "worst_return": -0.173031,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.111647,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.094462,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.177877,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.035958,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.192042,
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        "worst_return": -0.21778,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-06-23",
        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.076154,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2024-05-10",
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        "return": 0.022514,
        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
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        "return": 0.00294,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
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        "return": -0.091272,
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        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 4.365616,
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        "energy": 18.140877,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 17.284889,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 4177230.0,
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        "relative_strength": -2.612171,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 4108670.0,
        "trend": 41.664873,
        "fair_value": 30.211285,
        "relative_strength": -2.404196,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.483933,
        "energy": 1.06675,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 42.59,
        "volume": 3617900,
        "typical_volume": 3844165.0,
        "trend": 41.717912,
        "fair_value": 30.315247,
        "relative_strength": -0.083883,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 19.256563,
        "energy": 11.147375,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.935999,
          41.867196,
          41.642809,
          41.738194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.950001,
        "volume": 3403500,
        "typical_volume": 3719895.0,
        "trend": 41.694896,
        "fair_value": 30.40581,
        "relative_strength": -6.693342,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.572836,
        "energy": 22.004739,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.310666,
          41.55802,
          41.469344,
          41.624135
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.43,
        "volume": 4122800,
        "typical_volume": 3722705.0,
        "trend": 41.64227,
        "fair_value": 30.492503,
        "relative_strength": -7.649944,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.141635,
        "energy": 44.736653,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.602667,
          41.145763,
          41.260355,
          41.478013
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.57,
        "volume": 2965400,
        "typical_volume": 3597215.0,
        "trend": 41.641579,
        "fair_value": 30.583217,
        "relative_strength": -7.967773,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.661525,
        "energy": 42.969465,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.475333,
          40.9768,
          41.174461,
          41.408834
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}