{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "c41b3ae9-c1d2-45b5-adad-0ad9b44f3cc2",
    "symbol": "SIGA",
    "name": "SIGA Technologies Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -78.034,
    "architecture_energy": 87.672,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.437,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.17,
        "rotation_up": 9.86,
        "upward_expansion": 20.63,
        "deceleration": 37.81,
        "rotation_down": 83.34,
        "downward_expansion": 98.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.208667,
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        3.883307,
        4.166995
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3.05,
    "trend_reference": 4.613737,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.338931,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.314428,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.426091,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -52.108562,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.484482,
    "excess_performance": -0.671935,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.338931,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.115237,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.426091,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.327884,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.521086,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188416,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.484482,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.524093,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2574251,
      "relative_activity": 0.83317,
      "balance": 0.524093,
      "dry_up": 1.271266,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.135435,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.458245,
      "from_high_reference": -0.640959,
      "from_low_reference": 0.013289
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.613737,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.314428,
      "structural_low": 3.01,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.005864,
        "positive_rate": 0.448276,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.517241,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015255,
        "regime_survival": 0.758621,
        "best_return": 0.17108,
        "worst_return": -0.206633,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "worst_return": -0.232456,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.331235,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.384405,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.27,
        "volume": 7247668,
        "typical_volume": 3196376.05,
        "trend": 4.706633,
        "fair_value": 5.319078,
        "relative_strength": -47.147149,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.764321,
        "energy": 85.904494,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.343333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.05,
        "volume": 2574251,
        "typical_volume": 3089706.5,
        "trend": 4.613737,
        "fair_value": 5.314428,
        "relative_strength": -52.108562,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.033678,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}