{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c423c97e-1bff-43c9-9b85-eb363f5f9ceb", "symbol": "ALKLH", "name": "KLEA HOLDING", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.597, "architecture_energy": 79.221, "architecture_maturity": 61.969, "architecture_confidence": 81.477, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.07, "rotation_up": 8.94, "upward_expansion": 17.93, "deceleration": 37.08, "rotation_down": 81.06, "downward_expansion": 95.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.160733, 0.168985, 0.176992, 0.181707 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.1578, "trend_reference": 0.191183, "distance_from_trend": -0.174614, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.218663, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.278341, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.720438, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.277803, "excess_performance": -0.331115, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.174614, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099636, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.278341, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073626, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.307204, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.205086, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.277803, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.738952, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 586771, "relative_activity": 0.370452, "balance": 0.738952, "dry_up": 0.924256, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088817, "annualized_volatility": 0.396473, "from_high_reference": -0.486829, "from_low_reference": 0.028683 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.191183, "fair_value_reference": 0.218663, "structural_low": 0.1534, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.051957, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": -0.066901, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 1.098901, "worst_return": -0.303274, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.132891, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.091851, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.296211, "worst_return": -0.431545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.032319, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.024806, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.227325, "worst_return": -0.651321, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.557394, "energy": 64.774864, "activity_lines": [ 0.17072, 0.17744, 0.18165, 0.186565 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1562, "volume": 1259968, "typical_volume": 1763492.8, "trend": 0.19354, "fair_value": 0.220619, "relative_strength": -30.112516, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.365028, "energy": 72.817214, "activity_lines": [ 0.164333, 0.172818, 0.179179, 0.184013 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1578, "volume": 586771, "typical_volume": 1583930.85, "trend": 0.191183, "fair_value": 0.218663, "relative_strength": -30.720438, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.59651, "energy": 79.220895, "activity_lines": [ 0.160733, 0.168985, 0.176992, 0.181707 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }