{ "ticker": { "uuid": "c4249254-701f-47aa-9efd-92bd361f56c8", "symbol": "603336", "name": "Great-Sun Foods Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -10.536, "architecture_energy": 18.05, "architecture_maturity": 62.307, "architecture_confidence": 41.462, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.5, "rotation_up": 40.1, "upward_expansion": 22.71, "deceleration": 41.08, "rotation_down": 20.52, "downward_expansion": 56.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.316667, 8.755618, 9.277081, 9.408333 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 10.29, "trend_reference": 9.473627, "distance_from_trend": 0.086173, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.202171, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.659097, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.802262, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.106452, "excess_performance": 0.149655, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086173, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020847, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.659097, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.415145, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.108023, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192839, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.106452, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.637602, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 177077596, "relative_activity": 2.13383, "balance": 1.637602, "dry_up": 1.838372, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113588, "annualized_volatility": 0.585776, "from_high_reference": -0.223982, "from_low_reference": 0.425208 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.473627, "fair_value_reference": 6.202171, "structural_low": 7.22, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.057853, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": 0.046819, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.149425, "worst_return": -0.146214, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.086572, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.027863, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.390671, "worst_return": -0.122762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.10501, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.0821, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.333849, "worst_return": -0.014368, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.999017, "energy": 51.166226, "activity_lines": [ 7.93164, 8.407371, 9.287635, 9.396046 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.3, "volume": 112163452, "typical_volume": 70587508.5, "trend": 9.372293, "fair_value": 6.141879, "relative_strength": -6.934752, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.556509, "energy": 43.937464, "activity_lines": [ 8.070158, 8.25012, 9.170688, 9.326285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.77, "volume": 160235619, "typical_volume": 75893126.8, "trend": 9.41596, "fair_value": 6.170614, "relative_strength": 8.622421, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.272944, "energy": 22.261753, "activity_lines": [ 8.684267, 8.430869, 9.200551, 9.351944 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.29, "volume": 177077596, "typical_volume": 82985799.1, "trend": 9.473627, "fair_value": 6.202171, "relative_strength": 10.802262, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.535622, "energy": 18.05046, "activity_lines": [ 9.316667, 8.755618, 9.277081, 9.408333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }