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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.637, "architecture_energy": 90.428, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.369, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.2, "rotation_up": 82.4, "upward_expansion": 93.0, "deceleration": 44.67, "rotation_down": 13.47, "downward_expansion": 24.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 3379.666667, 3196.727273, 3091.757143, 3035.152074 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3730.0, "trend_reference": 2952.0375, "distance_from_trend": 0.263534, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2515.005963, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.483098, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.223483, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.246918, "excess_performance": 0.085183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.263534, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057338, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.483098, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105454, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.112235, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19573, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.246918, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.043253, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 713900, "relative_activity": 2.469089, "balance": 3.043253, "dry_up": 1.54184, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052031, "annualized_volatility": 0.329821, "from_high_reference": -0.02356, "from_low_reference": 0.536022 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2952.0375, "fair_value_reference": 2515.005963, "structural_low": 2685.0, 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500000, "typical_volume": 271120.0, "trend": 2914.687451, "fair_value": 2502.172518, "relative_strength": -4.240857, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.674992, "energy": 70.235361, "activity_lines": [ 3162.8, 3064.218182, 3019.380952, 2982.551264 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 3730.0, "volume": 713900, "typical_volume": 289135.0, "trend": 2952.0375, "fair_value": 2515.005963, "relative_strength": 11.223483, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.636782, "energy": 90.428084, "activity_lines": [ 3379.666667, 3196.727273, 3091.757143, 3035.152074 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }